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As I mentioned last week, we're in an environment where we want to be collecting delta-neutral options premium. Unfortunately, we can either pick instruments that are in well-defined ranges or we can sell high implied volatility, but it's getting increasingly hard to find both.
With this in mind, today's trade is in an instrument where options pricing may not be as elevated as it was earlier in the year, but it's still giving us a lot of room to be wrong.
Today's trade was crowdsourced in the All Star Options Telegram chat. Thanks to those of you who brainstormed with me.
As you know, I'm on the hunt for rangebound instruments to sell delta-neutral premiums in. The problem is -- it's getting harder to find charts that check all the boxes. I find myself having to make compromises. I can either find good premiums (often at the risk of an earnings event on the horizon), or I can find a stock in a good range. But it's getting harder to find both.
As I and the team have discussed on The Morning Show and this week's Options Jam Session, I'm on the hunt for opportunities to sell delta-neutral option premium with $VIX exploring higher levels than we've seen in recent months.
Today's trade is in a sector ETF exhibiting elevated options premiums and signs for extended rangebound action.
And October options are offering us enough premiums to trade strikes sufficiently far away from current action, beyond significant support and resistance levels.
As far as setups for delta-neutral premium collection go, this one checks all the boxes.
No matter how you measure volatility, there is no ignoring the fact that the daily moves (both realized and expected) have shrunk dramatically in the cryptocurrency space, most notably in granddaddy Bitcoin $BTC.
Here's Strazza this morning on twitter:
Implied volatility can remain muted for as long as it wants to. It's not going to expand on my schedule. But at least when we're range bound and options prices are relatively cheap, we can position ourselves further out in time to take advantage of the next big move.
The famous duck on our television screens that interrupts nearly every commercial break during football season is setting us to pay us back for all those annoying "Aflac!" utterances.
New all-time highs + low volatility sets up my favorite trade.
I’m continuing to travel throughout Southeast Asia — to eight different countries — with my All Star Charts analyst Steve Strazza, giving presentations at local Chartered Market Technicians (CMT) Association events, meeting local traders, enjoying native cuisines, and just marveling about the similarities we traders from different corners of the world all share.
So for the rest of the month of July and into early August, I’m going to cut the preamble and get right to the action for you guys.
As such, here’s the trade I’ll be putting on today:
I’m traveling throughout Southeast Asia — to eight different countries — with my All Star Charts analyst Steve Strazza, giving presentations at local Chartered Market Technicians (CMT) Association events, meeting local traders, enjoying native cuisines, and just marveling about the similarities we traders from different corners of the world all share.
So for the rest of the month of July, I’m going to cut the preamble and get right to the action for you guys.
As such, here’s the trade I’ll be putting on today:
[9/7: stop updated to 52. We already sold half our calls for profits at our target as mentioned below, so we're a guaranteed winner here!]
I'm traveling throughout Southeast Asia -- to eight different countries -- with my All Star Charts analyst Steve Strazza, giving presentations at local Chartered Market Technicians (CMT) Association events, meeting local traders, enjoying native cuisines, and just marveling about the similarities we traders from different corners of the world all share.
So for the rest of the month of July, I'm going to cut the preamble and get right to the action for you guys.
As such, here's the trade I'll be putting on today: