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In today's Flow Show, I flew solo. But have no fear, I have a great idea to work with that was brought to me by the All Star Options community and endorsed by the analysts here at All Star Charts.
You can watch the full episode here:
Earlier in the day, Steve and I were together on a live twitter/X spaces and we were talking about the strength we're seeing in the payments space. Not just the Visas and Mastercards, but the Paypals, Venmos, and Squares.
Universally, we liked the $SQ chart. And my ASO community likes it too.
So here's the weekly $SQ chart that I shared in the show:
The price of $FXI is going in the wrong direction. And as we know, only price pays. Price is truth.
Due to two previous "covered call" premium sales against our long January 2026 35-strike calls and more than one year until our long calls expire, I'm going to get creative with our position to keep the dream alive. I think we can afford to be patient.
I'm confident in doing so because ending the campaign here would only result in a small loss. So there's no panic.
We've got Nvidia earnings after the bell this afternoon. The feeling I shared to my analysts today -- and they all agreed -- is that if Nvidia disappoints, the likely result will be a small speedbump for the overall stock market. But if investors cheer the Nvidia earnings results, then gas is going to get poured on this bull market.
The Russell 2000 Small Cap ETF $IWM does not have direct exposure to $NVDA, so our risks feel limited on the downside. However, in a resumption of the bull market, small caps have a good chance of ripping to and through new highs.
Our last trade idea post was titled "European Vacation." Today's trade is in a name that is most definitely in the vacation theme.
And if you've attempted to book a hotel room in the past year, you know that rates are soaring. This might be bad for budget-sensitive travelers, but it can be bullish for investors.
Looking at a basket of the fifty biggest names in Europe, we've got a clean level to bet against for a rotation higher. And a volatility picture that offers us an edge to play it.
I generally try to avoid that. Today's trade might be the simplest thing I do: follow a trend.
When a chart is going from the bottom left to the upper right, who am I to call a top in something like that? What kind of arrogance must I have to think I'm the one who can call the turn?
Let somebody else be the hero. I'm going to follow the trend until it ends.
During our Analyst meeting this morning, I observed the relative "calm" in the Chinese Large Cap ETF $FXI and how, while down for the day, it is still holding in a range it's been in for over three weeks now.
And we love how it's holding this range as a healthy consolidation from its late September breakout.
There's nothing about this chart that is bearish to me: