Hey everyone. If you caught our livestream this afternoon at the close, you saw the earnings trade I put on for $NVDA using options.
If you didn't watch us live, then you missed the trade, and it's too late now. No biggie. You can skip the rest of the note.
If you did watch, and either you're watching from the sidelines and interested in how it plays out, or you did take the trade, read on. We'll discuss how I'm going to handle the exit tomorrow morning.
As a reminder, this afternoon, we put on a put ratio spread (1 x 2) in $NVDA Aug 30 (weekly) options. We sold short one 125 put and purchased two 115 puts for a net credit of $1.15, right at the last minute before the closing bell.
This morning, the team was discussing a notable Board of Directors insider making a sizeable $5 million purchase of stock.
While an insider's buy isn't necessarily grounds for me to get interested in getting involved, it did catch our attention and after looking at the chart and the sector, it looks like a trade we'd like to get into--carefully.
Feels fitting to position ourselves in a company that is known for going fast. Because if this bull market is about to resume its normal operation, then this company is likely going to lead us higher, quickly.
It's fashionable in certain circles to talk about having a Canadian escape plan if shit gets too weird here in the United States.
I'm not one of those. Though I love Canada, having grown up across the border in Buffalo, NY.
There were many times in my younger days, while spending a day across the border, where I'd find myself short on cash and I'd have to hit an ATM to get some loonies! And most often, those ATMs were run by CIBC.
So maybe I should attempt to earn back some of those ATM fees (plus interest!).
The stock market likely has a couple of aftershocks left in it. But if the worst is over, I have to believe this is a great opportunity to buy the dip in some names that will be beneficiaries of the AI boom.
And there are few bigger and well-positioned names than Microsoft.
This market environment still demands that we define our risks and we're going to leverage elevated volatility in a way you might not expect to express our bet.
VIX is near its highest level of the year and this is being reflected in options premiums nearly across the board.
It's also earnings season, so we want to be careful not to get caught in any potential earnings-driven landmines.
With this in mind, I've got a big cap name that has already reported earnings, is trading in a range, and is still exhibiting elevated options premiums -- the perfect recipe for a delta neutral options trade.
As can be seen in the chart below, $RSG has certainly been winning over the long run. And with this week's earning report sending the down 5%, it feels like a great opportunity to get positioned on the dip.