We use options to manage risk and to boost returns. Our free e-letter covers basic education and strategy. Our premium service includes sophisticated guidance as well as actionable setups.
Well, every attempt I've made at wading back into the bull market pool has been swiftly met by a destabilizing splash made by a bear cannonballing off the diving board.
So, until further notice, I'm going to hang by the cabana sipping on my virgin daiquiri and waiting for calmer waters.
Meanwhile, I'm going to attempt to get paid while I wait by selling some delta-neutral premium in a (relatively) safer area of the market, as defined by a powerful bounce of recent lows in consumer staples.
I don't like this market. It can't make up its mind. Things were starting to look promising last week, then Friday happened. And even today, intraday, we're seeing weird, indecisive trading action.
So I know I'm a broken record, but as long as this sideways slop continues, I'm looking to stay delta neutral and sell premium. And with earnings event risk all over the place, it is probably best to stay with liquid ETFs.
The utilities sector has been schmeissed (technical term) over the past couple of months. Its like all of a sudden investors all woke up en masse to finally decide the rising interest rates environment offers better alternatives for their investing dollars than relatively riskier dividend paying stocks.
This may be true, but is it possible investors may have overreacted a bit?
On a sector level, the Utilities ETF $XLU has potentially put in a tradeable bottom -- at least one we can lean against for risk management purposes. And considering their is upcoming earnings announcement risk in many of the biggest names in this sector, playing the ETF feels like the safest way to play.
Costco earns its margins before you even whip out your credit card at the checkout counter.
How?
They get paid upfront, selling you an annual "membership" that allows you to shop at Costco. That membership is all margin for Costco. This is how they can afford to sell most of their goods at or just above cost, yet still earn steady, reliable profits. What a concept!
We're gonna steal that concept by getting paid upfront.
Depending on who you ask, people might agree that consumers are feeling the pinch of inflation. The sentiment that I encounter on a nearly daily basis is: "I can't believe how much _____ costs now. It's insane!"
If we look at a daily chart of the consumer discretionary stocks ETF $XLY, we might draw a conclusion that consumers are beginning to feel tapped out, as the upward momentum in early 2023 seems to have run out of steam.
With elevated options premiums in $XLY, this sets up a nice options premium collection play.
After slowly dipping my toes last week into the idea that it might be time to start getting into some new long exposure, the market's reaction to the latest Federal Reserve action tells me the direction is still sideways until further notice.
So we're literally betting on that today with a delta-neutral credit spread in the Russell 2000.
P.S. We do trades like this regularly. If you'd like to leverage Best-in-Class technical analysis into smarter directional options trades, try out All Star Options Risk Free! Or give us a call to learn more: 323-421-7991.
The post-fed interest rates decision hangover this week has thrown stocks back into the sideways slop zone. Therefore, until conditions change, we're going to keep selling premium to ride this out.
Today's trade is a defined risk premium collection play that gets us out just before earnings.
While the stock market continues to digest its recent run and weave through this sideways consolidation, we're starting to get some pretty clear hints on which stocks will likely be leaders if/when the bull market resumes.
Today's trade is an early bullish bet on one of those names.
The markets are telling us it still wants sideways for longer.
We know this script, and we know it's been working. So we're going to keep chopping this wood until the markets tell us to get more directionally aggressive.
Ok, that's a stupid question but I'm out of pithy headlines.
When the market more or less is only offering you one style of options trade that makes sense in this environment, things might get a bit monotonous around here. And when that happens, my brain offers up 'dad joke'-level headlines :)
But there's nothing boring about making money and our delta-neutral credit spread trades continue to work. So we're continuing with them with today's trade.
The hunt for premium selling opportunities continues. And today's trade is in a name that is heavily weighted in the Home Construction sector ETF, where options premiums -- sector-wide -- are a bit more elevated than the rest.
Thankfully, October options expiration happens the week before this company releases its next quarterly earnings report, so we don't have any of that event risk to worry about.