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No need to get cute, and no need for an elaborate explanation of what's going on.
Quite simply, we're in a bull market. And it would be irresponsible to think that technology and high beta names won't be playing catchup soon.
We could try to pick the individual winners, or we can just buy a basket. Today's trade is that.
Here's a current one-year chart of ARK Innovation ETF $ARKK:
In the video above, me and Steve Strazza discuss that we want to be owners of the March 55 calls for a breakout move that kickstarts a recapture of all the lost mojo here in ARK over the past couple of years. It's crazy that this ETF once traded as high as $159.
Today's trade is not a bet that we'll be back there any time soon. But we think the battleship is turning and we'd like to catch the first wave.
Here's the Play:
I like buying a $ARKK Nov/Mar Diagonal Call Spread. We're going to short the November 53 calls and simultaneously purchase the March 55 calls for an approximately $1.25 net debit, which represents the most we can lose in this trade (as currently constructed).
At Portfolio Accelerator today, Uber was a name that was getting everybody excited. It looks like it's setting up for another run to and through all-time highs.
The trade today is in a company that actually makes money, minting coins. You know, the coins you drop in the pinball machine.
So, no matter how you think about it, the fundamentalists cannot say that this company does not make money. It always makes money.
Fun and word games aside, we've got a trade that has signaled the next big move and today's trading action is offering us a nice pullback in which to get involved at better prices.
The market continues to send signals that nearby risks are elevated, and there is no clear indication to us in which direction the next sustained move will come.
So, as has been the vibe for the past couple of weeks, I'm looking for trades that can offer my portfolio some diversification.
With this in mind, Steve Strazza presented a bearish setup in Block $SQ that checks the boxes for me to add some short exposure to my portfolio to counterbalance the mostly long positions I currently have on the books.
Check out this one-year chart of $SQ:
The stock has been in a downtrend since long before the indexes peaked this summer, cementing its leadership to the downside.
We contend that if the broader stock market is in for further downside action, $SQ will likely be one of the stocks leading the way. As such, we're going to position with options to take advantage of a possible retest of last October's lows.
Here's the Play:
I like buying $SQ December 55 puts for approximately $3.25 per contract. This premium I pay today represents the absolute most I can lose in this trade.
The Analysts here at All Star Charts were discussing Natural Gas in a recent analyst meeting, and the feeling is that 'ol Natty might be putting in a bottom and ready to reverse higher.
It's certainly got me in the mood to 'F around and find out.'
With yesterday's market action firing, potentially, another warning shot that Q4 trading will be challenging, I'm on the hunt for opportunities that may be a bit more uncorrelated to the risk I currently have on the books.
One such opportunity is presenting itself in the bond market and we're going to position ourselves to win both in the short-term or the longer-term.
Hey everyone. If you caught our livestream this afternoon at the close, you saw the earnings trade I put on for $NVDA using options.
If you didn't watch us live, then you missed the trade, and it's too late now. No biggie. You can skip the rest of the note.
If you did watch, and either you're watching from the sidelines and interested in how it plays out, or you did take the trade, read on. We'll discuss how I'm going to handle the exit tomorrow morning.
As a reminder, this afternoon, we put on a put ratio spread (1 x 2) in $NVDA Aug 30 (weekly) options. We sold short one 125 put and purchased two 115 puts for a net credit of $1.15, right at the last minute before the closing bell.
The PnL graph of this trade looks like this:
As of the time of this writing (7:30ET), here's a one-minute chart of $NVDA since the market closed at 4pm ET (2pm MT on this chart):