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Defensive Players Benched

January 17, 2025

For the market to experience a meaningful correction, we need to see clear signs of defensive rotation—and so far, that hasn’t happened.

In the bond market, U.S. Treasuries are viewed as the defensive play, especially compared to their High Yield counterparts. 

It’s the same concept in equities when you compare Consumer Staples to the broader S&P 500. If the environment favors risk-taking, both Treasuries and Staples should underperform.

Overlaying the Treasuries versus High-Yield ratio (IEI/HYG) with the Staple vs S&P 500 ratio (XLP/SPY), you’ll notice they move in the same direction.

 

Currently, both are trending lower and making new lows, signaling no defensive positioning from bond or equity investors.

As long as these lines keep trending down and to the right, there’s nothing to worry about for risk assets. But if they start to turn higher, that would be a key warning sign of trouble ahead, potentially...

2 to 100 Club,
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2 to 100 Club (01-15-2025)

January 15, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

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The Minor Leaguers (01-13-2025)

January 13, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

Nowadays, to make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

And it doesn't have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.

The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new...

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(Freshly Squeezed) Why We're Bullish on Making Babies 🐣📈

January 12, 2025

We've been pounding the table on Walgreens Boots Alliance as one of the best potential short squeezes in the entire market. We nailed it!

The stock rallied nearly 30% on Friday for its best earnings reaction ever. 

This isn't an isolated event. Short sellers are getting squeezed all over the place.

Healthcare is one sector that is particularly ripe for a short squeeze. It's home to some of the most hated stocks in the world.

Stocks like Progyny are precisely what we're looking for, and here's why:

  • It failed to resolve a massive distribution pattern, proving this stock isn't a zero (at least not yet).
  • With 15% short interest and a 7x days-to-cover ratio, there's plenty of juice to spark a short squeeze.
  • Short interest is making new 52-week highs, adding to our conviction in the offside positioning.
  • Healthcare stocks are some of...
All Star Charts Gold Rush,
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(Commodities Weekly) Commodities Are Soaring in 2025: Watch This Chart for What's Next 📈

January 10, 2025

The commodity bears are going into hibernation.

Today was the best day in years for commodities relative to stocks and bonds. 

Inflation expectations are hitting a fresh 30-month high, with crude oil's price breaking out to 10-week highs.

We think this is the beginning of a much longer period of commodity outperformance.

A few weeks ago, we told you a big move in the energy markets was coming. We think this recent price action has marked the beginning of that move.

In addition, we outlined why we're buying copper futures last week, and so far, that trade has been a home run.

What's next?

We think aluminum futures are up next....

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The Hall of Famers (01-10-2025)

January 10, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

 

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then, we...

2 to 100 Club,
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2 to 100 Club (01-08-2025)

January 8, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

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The Short Report (01-07-2025)

January 7, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

...

All Star Charts Gold Rush,
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(Commodities Weekly) Feeling Under The Weather? Go See Dr. Copper⚕️😷

January 3, 2025

Did you know China outperformed the United States stock market in 2024? We have the data.

We think this relative strength will persist, and if that's the case, don't forget about copper!

We discussed the long-term positive correlation between Chinese equities and copper futures a few months ago. 

Why does this relationship exist?

China is the world's largest consumer of refined copper and accounts for over 50% of global consumption. 

If one is going to work, so will the other.

More importantly, copper futures are testing a key level of interest:

 

Copper futures are potentially carving out the right shoulder of a multi-year inverted head and shoulders pattern.

This consolidation is happening in a primary uptrend: from 2020 to 2021, copper futures rallied nearly...

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(Freshly Squeezed) Turbocharge Your Portfolio: A Zinc-Powered Short Squeeze 🍋🔋

January 3, 2025

The market seems ripe for a good short squeeze. Don't you think?

Despite many market participants questioning the robustness of the current bull market, the worst stocks in the world keep outperforming

These stocks will get blasted and dramatically underperform in a true bear market environment.

We're seeing the opposite.

So we've gone through our Freshly Squeezed universe, and one name stands out.

Eos Energy Enterprises $EOSE, a $1.2B battery stock.

It's sporting a 27% short interest and a 7x days-to-cover ratio.

When the short sellers overstay their welcome (as they have in this instance), we look for opportunities to take the other side. 

Why? The risk versus reward is skewed in our favor.

Here's how we're trading $EOSE: