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The Strazza Letter

Currency Report: Coiled Up

June 25, 2025

The team and I have been digging through our currency charts today, trying to figure out if we should trust these new lows in the Dollar Index.

And the truth is, there is plenty we could say about dollars right now, but I don’t think it would help.

The Dollar Index is going to go in the opposite direction of these bull flags in EUR and GBP.

It’s really that simple. 

And as far as other currencies go, I think we can expect them to follow the majors. Some of them are already breaking out. 

Remember, the major developed currencies started trending well against the dollar first, and then emerging currencies gradually followed. 

I expect that intermarket cadence will continue during the next wave of dollar weakness.

And it looks like it already is. Here’s the Euro and Pound resolving their coils higher against USD:

 

Both of these currencies ramped to fresh multi-year highs in April and have been consolidating in continuation patterns ever since.

This action reminds me of some of the ...

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2 to 100 Club (06-25-2025)

June 25, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

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Front Row to a Commodity Supercycle

June 23, 2025

Every major commodity boom of the last 25 years has followed the same blueprint:

🔺 CRB Index starts curling higher
🔺 Yield curve inverts… then steepens
🔺 And commodities don’t just rally—they detonate.

Look at the chart. 

 

2001 → Inversion → Steepening → Oil +300%
2006 → Same setup → Same outcome
2020 → Rinse and repeat

And now?

It’s happening again.

The CRB is coiling just beneath multi-year resistance. The kind of tight, coiled spring that doesn’t let go gently. Momentum is building. The yield curve—the most reliable forward indicator we’ve got—is turning up from historic depths.

This isn’t some lagging inflation print. This isn’t a Fed narrative. This is price. And price is truth.

This is a setup that only comes around a few times in a generation. Most investors sleep through it. They wait for confirmation. They miss it.

But not you.

Hemingway once said bankruptcy happens two ways: gradually, then suddenly. Commodity cycles are the same. They creep. They churn. Then they rip.

...

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(Commodities Weekly) Sowing the Seeds of a Trend Reversal 📈

June 20, 2025

Grain markets are showing signs of life.

After a brutal multi-year collapse, many major agricultural contracts are starting to perk up. 

The short-term and intermediate-term trends are beginning to point higher. 

Momentum is entering a new bullish regime. 

And participation is expanding.

We’ve already outlined bullish setups in the futures for Corn, Soybeans, and Soybean Oil

These contracts have been carving out bottoms, and they're starting to resolve higher from well-defined bases. 

Now, we're seeing more of the same.

The short-term strength is hard to ignore.

Just take a look at the...
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International Hall of Famers (06-20-2025)

June 20, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important...

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Currency Report: Ten Years In Malacca

June 18, 2025

The Singapore Dollar is roaring higher. 

After more than a decade of basing, the SGD/USD is finally punching through a key breakout level—the 61.8% retracement of its 2011–2020 decline.

This isn’t just another FX pair catching a bid. Singapore is one of the most critical currencies in global trade. The city-state controls the Strait of Malacca—a vital artery for global shipping. 

When the Singapore Dollar is strong, it's usually saying something about global trade flows, risk appetite, and Asia's relative strength on a global stage.

Singapore, plainly put, is the financial hub of Southeast Asia.

So it makes sense to see it break out as we continue to see rotation into EM, and Asia in particular– as well as weakness in the US Dollar.

 

Zooming out, this is a textbook rounding bottom. The long base. The range-bound price action. The upside resolution. This is classic trend reversal stuff.

And it’s not just the currency flashing a regime change.

Here are Singaporean equities overlaid with SGD:

 

EWS, the...

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2 to 100 Club (06-18-2025)

June 18, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

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The Short Report (06-17-2025)

June 17, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ricardo Sarraf @nullcharts

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via...

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The Minor Leaguers (06-16-2025)

June 16, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

Nowadays, to make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

And it doesn't have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.

The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new...

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Houston, the Shorts Have a Problem 🚀

June 15, 2025

Short sellers are under pressure, and it’s starting to show.

They’ve been caught leaning the wrong way and are scrambling to unwind their bets.

That’s when we like to step in with our Freshly Squeezed strategy, right as the squeeze begins.

Here's our latest scan: 

 

As you can see, Phathom Pharma $PHAT, Tango Thera. $TNGX and AST SpaceMobile $ASTS are at the top of the leaderboard. 

Over the last 10 trading sessions, they've rallied 150.4%, 111.3%, and 66.3%, respectively.

The squeeze in Sezzle $SEZL is continuing to unfold. The stock is up nearly 60% since we bought it last month.

We also have tables sorted by short interest and days-to-cover.

Now let’s break down today’s setup and...

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Top Down Trade of the Week

June 14, 2025

Welcome back for another Top Down Trade of the Week. 

This one’s a classic leadership scan.

We start with the best sectors, then drill into the subgroups. We pick one, and then take a look at the top stocks in it. 

This week, Energy is the big standout—jumping to the top of our sector rankings. 

 

Healthcare and utilities also made a big move up on the leaderboard as growth sectors faltered. 

Here is a look at our overall industry rankings, which shows oil & gas cracking into the top 10.

 

It’s not a surprise to see it there—crude oil has been squeezing higher, posting its best week since October 2022.

That kind of price action tends to light a fire under energy stocks, and that’s exactly what we’re seeing.

...