New issue? check

Near all-time highs? check

High Short Interest? check

Today's trade has all the ingredients for a monster breakout. This of course is no guarantee of a win, but if we're right, the payoff will be incredibly worth the risk.

It's a bull market. No question. But that doesn't change the fact that I'd still like to add some downside diversification to my portfolio in the weakest names the stock market has to offer, just in case.

Today's short trade candidate appears to be hanging on the precipice of a potentially swift and brutal fall. This is as good an opportunity as I can see to help protect my portfolio in the event we see a market pullback.

If your house is anything like mine, you likely have an Amazon truck delivering packages to your doorstep at least once per week. In my neighborhood, the Amazon delivery truck does twice daily rounds. We're on a first-name basis. (His name is Henry).

Those packages have price tags attached to them. You'll find them in your credit card statements. It is likely not an insignificant line item in your monthly budget.

Today, the stock is making a move to fresh all-time highs, breaking out of a high three-month consolidation.

It's time to get involved.

In today's Flow Show, Steve Strazza highlighted the strength we're seeing in the homebuilders sector. I immediately liked it because I don't have any homebuilding stocks in my portfolio, which needs to be corrected.

Last week, Lennar Corp $LEN released earnings, and the market pretty much yawned. I like that. Because the other name that we liked better -- D.R. Horton $DHI -- hasn't yet released earnings (scheduled for July 18th) and unless they come out with something truly shocking, my bet is the market will be similarly unfazed. This tells me there's an opportunity to take advantage of some overpriced options premiums currently being bid into $DHI options.

In fact, it's not even called General Electric anymore. The company is now called "GE Aerospace."

I bring this up because the analysts had a debate today on whether or not $GE stock bumping up against levels not seen since the Great Financial Crisis even matter. Is it even the same company today as it was in 2008? The unequivocal answer is no -- it is not the same company.

Regardless, the only thing that really matters to us is the price action and its hard to ignore the run $GE has been on over the past eight months.

Check out this chart:

In today's episode of the Flow Show, Steve and I navigate some trade ideas that would help add bearish portfolio diversification in case the stock market wants to catch its breath this summer.

We discussed two specifically ugly charts, and we both agreed that Block Inc $SQ offers the best opportunity as an options trade.

Watch the video above for all the color you need.

Here's the chart for $SQ:

The recent stock market rally is being led by the mega caps. And there's no reason to think this isn't going to continue for the foreseeable future.

I'm currently under-allocated to the biggest capped names. So today's trade is an attempt to rectify that.

Here's another trade for the "Hard" file...

It's "Fed Day." So I'm not interested in putting on any trades that might be material affected by any post-fed reaction. But I did find one that is trading in it's own universe, divorced from whatever may or may not come out of Washington.

This is a trade that will be hard for many people. Not hard to execute, just hard to comprehend the why?

Some people will look at the chart and be afraid of a pullback.

Some people will see that it's a $4 stock and say: "no thanks."

Others will hate the sector it's in.

In what has become pretty well documented over the past two years or so, our Uncle Warren Buffett has been accumulating a very large position in Occidental Petroleum $OXY. He's been making his buys in the neighborhood of $55-60 per share. Like clockwork, every time $OXY has traded below $60 per share, we see new Form-4 filings disclosing another large purchase by Berkshire Hathaway.

We at All Star Charts were a little ahead of the crowd on this trade, having sold puts numerous times in $OXY over the past two years at these levels to take advantage of elevated options premiums and the "Buffett Support Zone."

It's been a minute since I've bought anything on eBay. But, by the look of the chart, I must be the outlier as it appears there is still good business there and market participants appear to agree.

Here's what my Analysts had to say about $EBAY in a recent 2 to 100 Club report:

eBay is completing a rounding bottom reversal as it reclaims the 38.2% retracement level. This level has acted as resistance multiple times in the past, making it a great place to define our risk. If this breakout sticks, the primary trend is higher, and we want to be long against the 53 level.

On a relative basis, the stock is working its way higher out of a bearish-to-bullish reversal pattern versus its peers. If the reversal pattern is completed on absolute terms, we expect the stock to outperform its peers over longer timeframes.

We want to buy EBAY above 53, with a target of 64 over the coming 2-4 months.

Here's a visual of that chart:

Consumer Discretionary stocks are on our radar. And for today's trade, we're going abroad and finding a stock that has both a great setup and is also starting to become a fashion "story" here in the U.S.

Just about anyone I've talked to about sneakers recently has mentioned this brand. It is quickly becoming a favorite. I don't currently own a pair, but if this trade pays, then perhaps I'll go buy a pair with my profits :)

[Note: We entered this trade on June 4th following the entry trigger. Details below]

On today's Flow Show, Steve Strazza brought the heat.

It appears Bitcoin is about to start another leg higher. It's showing all the signs: A tightening consolidation on the verge of an upside resolution. And with the 100,000 level on the watch list of every professional and amateur market speculator, it's hard to believe that the next bullish breakout does not include a run to and through this highly watched level.