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All Star Options

[Options Premium] High Tech Vol

July 23, 2024

While I was away, volatility had a moment. And it's still hanging at pretty high levels, especially in tech stocks.

In the Technology sector ETF $XLK, we're seeing the highest implied volatility that we've experienced all year:

And with the chart of $XLK forming a range...

...this feels like a good opportunity to play for volatility mean reversion.

Here's the Play:

 

[Options] Going on a Viking Quest

July 15, 2024

In today's episode of The Flow Show, me and Steve Strazza talk about the uniquely interesting market we currently find ourselves in, and we delve into a sector that appears to be making a long overdue turn higher, and a stock within the sector that is positioned for a potentially monster breakout.

Here's the big picture setup of Viking Therapeutics $VKTX:

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Trading Like a Tomcat

July 10, 2024

The All Star Charts analyst team continues to believe that the industrial sector will be one of the leading areas to lift the market higher as sector rotation works its magic to keep this bull market going.

And the chart of Caterpillar $CAT looks like a potential failed top in the making:

If we're right, $CAT could quickly recapture all-time highs north of $382 per share and then the sky's the limit from there.

[Options] This Setup is Precious

July 8, 2024

The bull market is on, baby!

But if we expect it to continue, then we're going to need to see some rotation into some new sectors to bring fresh cash into the market and keep the wave going.

One sector that my Analysts feel has the potential to pick up the slack is Precious Metals. And the name that Steve Strazza and I discussed on today's Flow Show has the potential to ride the sector wave as well as play catch up to its big brother Gold.

Here's a chart of Wheaton Metals Corp $WPM:

[Options] Bet on Morgan

July 2, 2024

In today's Flow Show, Steve Strazza served up the opportunity that is revealing itself in the financials space.

So we looked for some vehicles to express our bullish thesis, while being mindful of upcoming earnings releases that will be kicking of earnings season in less than two weeks.

This is no time to enter trades with undefined risk. But if we can minimize the volatility, it would be best to consider those options.

We think we have just the right idea in Morgan Stanley.

Here's a one-year chart of $MS:

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Look Out (Five) Below

June 28, 2024

It's a bull market. No question. But that doesn't change the fact that I'd still like to add some downside diversification to my portfolio in the weakest names the stock market has to offer, just in case.

Today's short trade candidate appears to be hanging on the precipice of a potentially swift and brutal fall. This is as good an opportunity as I can see to help protect my portfolio in the event we see a market pullback.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Hedging My Household Shopping Exposure

June 26, 2024

If your house is anything like mine, you likely have an Amazon truck delivering packages to your doorstep at least once per week. In my neighborhood, the Amazon delivery truck does twice daily rounds. We're on a first-name basis. (His name is Henry).

Those packages have price tags attached to them. You'll find them in your credit card statements. It is likely not an insignificant line item in your monthly budget.

Today, the stock is making a move to fresh all-time highs, breaking out of a high three-month consolidation.

It's time to get involved.

[Options] Homebuilder's Volatility is Overpriced

June 24, 2024

In today's Flow Show, Steve Strazza highlighted the strength we're seeing in the homebuilders sector. I immediately liked it because I don't have any homebuilding stocks in my portfolio, which needs to be corrected.

Last week, Lennar Corp $LEN released earnings, and the market pretty much yawned. I like that. Because the other name that we liked better -- D.R. Horton $DHI -- hasn't yet released earnings (scheduled for July 18th) and unless they come out with something truly shocking, my bet is the market will be similarly unfazed. This tells me there's an opportunity to take advantage of some overpriced options premiums currently being bid into $DHI options.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Not the Same Ol' General Electric

June 21, 2024

In fact, it's not even called General Electric anymore. The company is now called "GE Aerospace."

I bring this up because the analysts had a debate today on whether or not $GE stock bumping up against levels not seen since the Great Financial Crisis even matter. Is it even the same company today as it was in 2008? The unequivocal answer is no -- it is not the same company.

Regardless, the only thing that really matters to us is the price action and its hard to ignore the run $GE has been on over the past eight months.

Check out this chart:

 

[Options] The Bears Are Blocking the Square

June 17, 2024

In today's episode of the Flow Show, Steve and I navigate some trade ideas that would help add bearish portfolio diversification in case the stock market wants to catch its breath this summer.

We discussed two specifically ugly charts, and we both agreed that Block Inc $SQ offers the best opportunity as an options trade.

Watch the video above for all the color you need.

Here's the chart for $SQ:

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Gotta Be in the Mega Majors

June 14, 2024

The recent stock market rally is being led by the mega caps. And there's no reason to think this isn't going to continue for the foreseeable future.

I'm currently under-allocated to the biggest capped names. So today's trade is an attempt to rectify that.