Mark Dow has been a guest on this podcast more times than anyone else for a good reason. Selfishly I always enjoy chatting with him. His perspective is fascinating to me because he does such brilliant job of combining price behavior with sentiment analysis and the global macro intermarket backdrop.

Mark worked for the U.S. Treasury Department in charge of Emerging Markets in the early 90s before ultimately running money for a Global Macro Hedge Fund in New York City. So he has a lot of opinions on economics and politics, but he's great at not letting those things get in the way of his price behavior and sentiment analysis. He's figured out how to separate them but also use his expertise to his advantage. That's not any task.

In this post, we want to share some research that was provided to our US Subscribers, which attempts to explain why the difference in Interest Rates in Europe and the US is causing trouble in the markets.

Everything between the horizontal lines was written for US subscribers, so keep that in mind as you're reading it. The conclusion/takeaway for India is way at the bottom in bold.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Today we want to look at why the difference in Interest Rates between European and US Bonds are causing trouble in the markets.

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

This week we held October’s Monthly Conference Call which our Premium Members can access and rewatch here.

In this post, we’ll provide a summary of the call by highlighting 5 of the most important charts/topics we covered along with commentary on each.

Let’s dive into it.

This is the video recording of the October 2020 Conference Call.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Thanks to everyone who participated in this week's Mystery Chart.

Most off, you said you'd do nothing with this one, opting for more attractive longs and shorts in things that are trending well.

With that as our backdrop, let's just right into it.

This is the video recording of our October 2, 2020 Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

In June we outlined that the "Reflation Trade" indicators we track had picked up significantly after reaching levels of long-term support in March.

Since then that thesis has played out and we've been taking advantage of it in Metals, cyclical stock market sectors like Materials and Industrials, and even Agricultural Commodities which managed to break out.

But...after a nice run many of these assets and intermarket relationships have pulled back over the last month or so...begging the question "is the reflation thesis over?"

Luckily for us, we only need one chart to discuss what's happening and how we're approaching it.

The way I learned it is that, "Sector Rotation Is The Lifeblood Of A Bull Market".

But what does that mean exactly? Why does it matter? Why should we care?

All great questions, so I invited my friend Todd Sohn from Strategas and our very own Steve Strazza to discuss this important topic.

What sort of rotation are we seeing today?

Here is Part 1 of our discussion:

This is the video recording of the September 2020 Conference Call.

This is the video recording of the August 2020 Conference Call.

It's always fun chatting with Catherine over at BNN Bloomberg. She has the uncanny ability of getting me on her show just at the right time! In February, I explained very clearly why we were raising cash (the week before the biggest market crash ever), and then in early July I was screaming on television to buy stocks aggressively, just before a slew of new sectors started breaking out to the upside.

Today, I have a similar bullish view. This is a market that is rewarding us for buying stocks. That's the bottom line. And we don't see any evidence of that changing yet. Catherine also asked me about the Bond Market and I explained why I think rates go higher.

We like the have fun with these. Life is short. I hope you enjoy it!