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Europe hits New 52-week Highs

February 21, 2023

The broadest measure of European equities just hit new 52-week highs last week.

As you can see here, Europe went nowhere for 20 years, mostly due to its lack of exposure to high growth stocks like the United States.

And now that those growth stocks have been out of favor, and it's the more Industrial and cyclical stocks leading the way this bull market, Europe is the global leader once again.

It's the U.S. that's the laggard.

Here's the Euro STOXX 600 hitting new 52-week highs and coming out of a multi-decade base:

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Follow the Flow (02-20-2023)

February 20, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.

In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

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Under the Hood (02-20-2023)

February 20, 2023

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the week ended February 17, 2023. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Industrials Are The Leaders In This Bull Market

February 18, 2023

In bull markets you have leadership groups.

That's just a simple fact that you see in every cycle.

During this bull market in particular, the one that turned 8-months old earlier this week, Industrials have been a real leader.

The Industrials Sector Index Fund $XLI is the best performing sector of them all since the June lows.

Now take a look at Industrials on an equally-weighted basis relative to the S&P500 equally-weighted.

From a broader perspective, Industrials are breaking out to new 14-year highs relative to the rest of the market:

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International Hall of Famers (02-17-2023)

February 17, 2023

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We’ve also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It’s got all the big names and more--but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let’s dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here’s this week’s list:

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A Second Shot at a Sweet Trade

February 17, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The New York Mercantile Exchange soft commodity contracts have been ripping.

Orange juice futures recently broke out of a decade-long base, coffee is up almost 20% in a month, and cocoa hit fresh 52-week highs yesterday.

Yet, of all the softs, I like sugar the most.

In fact, sugar held the No. 1 spot as my favorite chart heading into 2023. And it broke out last month!

I missed that move -- not for lack of initiative, more like access issues.

If you missed it, too, have no fear: Sugar is offering us another opportunity to get long.…

Check out the weekly chart:

Frustration

February 16, 2023

As a trader, I’ve grown comfortable with losing.

Losing money is part of winning over the long run.

There is no winning without losing. Sounds crazy, but traders know this to be true.

We’ve all heard that losses are lessons. They are expensive lessons, but often the most valuable. Nothing valuable comes cheaply.

During the triage phase of dissecting what went wrong, we often have “a-ha!” moments that lead to new rules and new promises, and renewed confidence. “Next time,” we tell ourselves, “the outcome will be drastically different!”

This is all well and good.

Today, I currently find myself in a unique spot.