More and more stocks are completing primary trend reversals.
The most risk-on groups are leading the charge.
With this in mind, it's time for another Freshly Squeezed report.
Here's our approach:
We find the most heavily shorted stocks in the market. Then, we monitor these names for signs of upward momentum. Once that momentum kicks in, we ride them higher as the bears get squeezed.
We got fresh short data on Monday, so let's dive in and talk about it.
Our scan is quite simple. It is designed to identify stocks with the most aggressive short positions.
When a stock is shorted, it means incremental buyers are waiting in the wings...
Looking at a basket of the fifty biggest names in Europe, we've got a clean level to bet against for a rotation higher. And a volatility picture that offers us an edge to play it.
In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
But the scan doesn't just end there.
We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.
When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...
The underperformance from Technology stocks continues.
And keep in mind that you've been seeing it in Large-caps for most of this year, but you've been seeing the underperformance from Small-cap Technology for over 18 months.
Small-cap Tech peaked in the summer of 2023 relative to the rest of the small-caps:
It's really been a disappointment for Technology investors.
Granted, there are Tech stocks working, but they are few and far between, compared to what we have seen in the past.
Look at the returns of these Technology ETFs relative to the performance in Bitcoin over the past month:
If we want to own "Technology", then I think there are better places to do that than buying the Tech ETFs or the indexes in general.
I think we want to pick our spots
In the latest Trade Alert to members of ASC Crypto, the best Crypto Miners, which are NOT considered "Technology", are highlighted with details for best entry and exits.
They are categorized as "Capital Markets". And there were multiple trade alerts this...
So the question becomes: Is this fresh breakout the beginning of the next leg higher for equities?
Or is this market behavior evidence of exhaustion and it's time to get out?
Let me remind you of the "Fab 5" charts from the beginning of 2024 that helped determine whether we were starting a new leg higher this year or if it was time to bail.
The breakouts coming into this year, specifically in Broker Dealers, Technology, Industrials, Homebuilders and Semiconductors were the most important...
It wasn't clear how the price would react to our target, but sure enough, the sellers showed up right on cue.
But the weight of the evidence continues to suggest this bull market has legs and it's better to spend our time looking for buying opportunities, not selling opportunities.
Let's talk about the recent price action and what it means for our portfolios: