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(Commodities Weekly) Have You Seen This Divergence?

November 15, 2024

In technical analysis kindergarten, you'll learn there are 3 asset classes: stocks, bonds, AND commodities.

Without all 3, you're missing a piece of the puzzle and are putting yourself at a disadvantage.

Since commodities peaked in absolute and relative terms in 2022, they have dramatically underperformed stocks.

It's gotten to the extent where there's not any momentum to the downside remaining.

Commodities have carved out a massive bullish momentum divergence relative to stocks since the start of 2024:

 

As you can see, DBC/SPY has made lower highs and lower lows all year while the 14-day RSI (momentum) has made higher highs and higher lows.

In addition, the ratio is at the same level it was when it bottomed in the prior cycle and began a multi-year uptrend. 

It's now or never. If the commodity bulls are going to reverse this downtrend versus stocks, they need to show up now.

The Invesco Commodity Index $DBC has carved out a textbook basing pattern:

 

The Invesco Commodity Index is composed of over 55% energy, 10%...

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The Hall of Famers (11-15-2024)

November 15, 2024

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

 

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then...

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Speaking of Vacation...

November 15, 2024

Our last trade idea post was titled "European Vacation." Today's trade is in a name that is most definitely in the vacation theme.

And if you've attempted to book a hotel room in the past year, you know that rates are soaring. This might be bad for budget-sensitive travelers, but it can be bullish for investors.

So let's hedge our travel expenses.

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 11/15/24

November 15, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Rolled TLT to January options.
  3. Closed IWM at profit target.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 11/14/24

November 14, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in IGV.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. No exists since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

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Junior Hall of Famers (11-14-2024)

November 14, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.

However, when it comes to this one, it couldn't be any simpler!

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.

Welcome to The Junior Hall of Famers.

This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if price is rising. That's good enough for us.

The bottom line is it is a bull market. We...

All Star Charts Crypto

📊 What Are The Smartest Degens Buying?

November 14, 2024

The beauty of the blockchain means that we can track all purchases in real time from the smartest wallets.

These are people with the best track record on-chain that we can follow into trades.

There's a lot of action taking place and the smartest degens are making moves.