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Monthly Preview (August-2020)

August 3, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Every week we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories, along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and give our outlook, as well as some of the things we're watching for in the month ahead.

With July just coming to a close, we're going to focus on that month's returns for insight into the near-term and analyze a variety of monthly charts in order to view the recent performance within the context of the underlying trends.

This week, we'll highlight the broad-based bullish performance across just about every asset class in July, as well as one of the tailwinds for this which was the weak US Dollar.

Here is our list of International Indexes. We continue to see outperformance from the US, China, and other areas of Asia such as Taiwan (which is not shown in the table, but made new all-time highs this month). The Shanghai Composite and Wilshire 5000 are outperforming their peers with significant gains over every timeframe.

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[Premium] Details For August Monthly Strategy Session

August 1, 2020

These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Tuesday August 4th @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Tuesday:

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S&P500 Makes New All-time Highs

August 1, 2020

What do we know for sure about New All-time Highs?

We know for a fact that they are NOT a characteristic of a downtrend. We've gone back and done the work, and as it turns out, New All-time Highs are normally things we see in uptrends!

With the S&P500 going out at New All-time Highs yesterday, and the Nasdaq making it now 3 months in a row of all-time highs, is the bet you want to make that we're in a downtrend for stocks?

This 10-month moving average strategy is one of the more simple, yet effective trend following systems that I know of. If the S&P500 closes the month above its 10-month moving average, we want to be long. If the S&P500 closes below its 10-month moving average, we do not.

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Under The Hood (07-31-2020)

July 31, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome to this week's edition of "Under The Hood." You can read more about the column here.

What we do is analyze the most popular Robinhood stocks over the trailing week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them. This was a busy week so let's get right into it.

It was surprising not to see Facebook $FB on this week's most popular list heading into earnings. All the other big tech names were. We'll cover this more below.

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Weekly Preview (07-27-2020)

July 28, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Every week we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and give our outlook and some of the things we're watching for in the week ahead.

This week we're going to highlight our International ETF and Global Index tables, and focus on some of the rotation we're seeing into more offensive assets across the board. Let's dive into it.

Emerging Markets $EEM, particularly Latin America $ILF, continue to rebound strong. These two indexes were this week's leaders on our International ETF list but notice that they are also the top performers over the trailing one and three month periods.

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Under The Hood (07-24-2020)

July 24, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome to this week's edition of "Under The Hood." You can read more about the column here.

What we do is analyze the most popular Robinhood stocks over the trailing week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

This week we have a handful of trade ideas on the long side, many of which belong to the Health Care space and are working on Covid-19 vaccines.

We'll also walk through a number of mega-cap bellwethers and get a feel for what's going on in that space.

The stock market has been going crazy again this week, and maybe it's beginning to rub off on me... We usually only share about 10 charts in this post, but there is just too much going on in these names so I went a little crazy myself in looking through the charts for this week's post. We ended up with 14. Let's dive into it!

Here is this week's list of most popular stocks, measured by net increases in Robinhood accounts that hold shares.

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Buying These Canadian Stocks

July 20, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Last time we wrote about Canada, our primary focus was on the breakouts occurring in many of the Gold Miners.

This time, we're looking for stocks displaying long-term trends of absolute momentum and relative strength...and we're buying them.

Let's get into the charts.

Here's Canadian national Railway going out at all-time highs last week. From a structural perspective, this signals the continuation of the stock's long-term uptrend and indicates a target up towards 160. If you want to keep your risk management tight, then 128 is the level, but if you want to give it more room then this thesis remains intact if prices are above 120.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

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No Puns...Just Marijuana Stocks We're Buying

July 18, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

We haven't taken a look at the Marijuana sector in a while, so today I'm going to review where the sector stands on an absolute and relative basis...and which stocks we're buying (if any).

Normally I'd have a pun or two here, but I've decided to take the high road and focus solely on the charts this time.

First, let's start at the index level with the Alternative Harvest ETF (MJ). prices gapped below our price objective at 12.60 earlier in the year, consolidated for two months, and then gapped back above it...forming an "island reversal" bottom on the weekly chart.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

Since then, prices have successfully retested support multiple times, so it would appear the bias is higher towards 22 as long as we're above 12.60.

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[Premium] Details For July 2020 Conference Call

July 18, 2020

These are the registration details for the live monthly conference call for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

This month’s Conference Call will be held on Monday July 20th at 7PM ET has been changed to Tuesday July 21 at 7PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Tuesday:

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Under The Hood (07-17-2020)

July 17, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome to our latest edition of "Under The Hood." Read more about it here.

In this column, we analyze the most popular Robinhood stocks over the trailing week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

This week we have a handful of trade ideas on the long side in a number of names that continue to exhibit impressive relative strength.

Let's dive into it. Here is this week's list of most popular stocks, measured by net increases in Robinhood accounts that hold shares.

Click table to enlarge view.

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Last Week In Review (07-10-2020)

July 14, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

For the week ended Friday, July 10, 2020:

Every week we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

This week we're going to highlight our US Index and Sector ETF tables, and focus on the laggards as they are giving us the most important information for the current market environment. Let's dive into it.

No surprises here... The Nasdaq $QQQ outperformed aggressively once again last week, booking a +4.7% gain while Mid, Small, and Micro-Caps were all lower. The Nasdaq is the only US Index that is higher over the trailing month.