The old saying from our friend Jeff Hirsch goes, "Buy in October and Get yourself Sober".
Did you listen?
And it's not so much about literally buying blindly in October, and more about the fact that stocks tend to end their seasonal corrections around that time, before going on to rally into the end of the year.
And that's exactly what we've seen.
Here is the 4-year seasonal cycle, which of course, suggested strength in equities since mid-term elections last year. And we certainly saw it.
Then the Q3 correction came and went, again all perfectly normal.
And finally that year end strength, which of course we're seeing:
Last night was our LIVE Mid-Month Strategy Session. It was probably one of the most important Live Conference Calls we've ever held.
It's odd because we're in the middle of a raging bull market, but it feels that almost no one is participating in it.
Just look around. Over the past 18 months people have told me how crazy I am for buying stocks. But you know, it's been really rewarding buying stocks.
It's the selling of stocks that has generally not worked out very well for investors.
But what do we do now, as we enter the early stages of the most bullish time of the year?
We held our November Monthly Strategy Session Wednesday night. Premium Members can access and rewatch it here.
Non-members can get a quick recap of the call simply by reading this post each month.
By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, the idea is to take a step back and put things into the context of their structural trends. This is easily one of our most valuable exercises as it forces us to put aside the day-to-day noise and simply examine markets from a “big-picture” point of view.
With that as our backdrop, let’s dive right in and discuss three of the most important charts and/or themes from this month’s call.
From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts
We held our September Monthly Strategy Session Tuesday night. Premium Members can access and rewatch it here.
Non-members can get a quick recap of the call simply by reading this post each month.
By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, the idea is to take a step back and put things into the context of their structural trends. This is easily one of our most valuable exercises as it forces us to put aside the day-to-day noise and simply examine markets from a “big-picture” point of view.
With that as our backdrop, let’s dive right in and discuss three of the most important charts and/or themes from this month’s call.