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No, I Will Not Add to This Loser

June 5, 2024

I received a well-meaning question from one of our clients today regarding an open position.

This client missed getting into the trade a couple of months ago.

Paraphrasing her question, she asked, “Since the stock is still above your stop loss level, would it make sense to buy the dip here, and/or would you add to your position here?”

Again, it's a well-meaning question – one I’m sure we all often wrestle with.

The problem, however, is that the position isn’t acting well. It’s a longer-term trade for us and still has a ways to go until options expiration, but the stock is currently trading well below the level at which we first got in.

In the chart below, you can see where we entered at the purple circle:

[Options] The Other Side of the Coin

June 3, 2024

[Note: We entered this trade on June 4th following the entry trigger. Details below]

On today's Flow Show, Steve Strazza brought the heat.

It appears Bitcoin is about to start another leg higher. It's showing all the signs: A tightening consolidation on the verge of an upside resolution. And with the 100,000 level on the watch list of every professional and amateur market speculator, it's hard to believe that the next bullish breakout does not include a run to and through this highly watched level.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] This Trade Fits the Bill

May 31, 2024

As I mentioned in yesterday's Options Jam Session, the stock market is currently sending mixed signals and it has me open to the idea of adding some short exposure to my portfolio to balance the risks to my open long positions.

So I'm on the hunt for weak stocks that are showing signs of losing significant support levels.

Today's trade fits the bill.

Brian Lund Has to Write

May 30, 2024

If there's one thing Brian Lund learned about himself over the past 30 years in the markets, he must write. Without a doubt, without even thinking about it, he knows that to express himself and to complete his thoughts into productive trading, he needs to sit down and start writing.

And this makes sense. We hear this a lot from our smart friends.

Barry Ritholtz once wrote: "I write to find out what I'm thinking."

In this conversation with Brian, we get into the importance of sleep hygiene and how it's so important for us to be at our best. Not just in trading, but in living.

We dig into challenges Brian has overcome along the way, including an ADHD diagnosis, and morphing from an always-on entrepreneur who constants has problems to solve to a trader who must sit on his hands and wait for things to happen.

We also cover his hacks like therapy, meditation, and a CPAP machine to help him maintain his sharpness.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] If The Semis Rally Continues, AMD Rides.

May 30, 2024

If the way Nvidia is trading is an indication that the semiconductors run is far from over, then we have to believe some additional names down the cap scale will attempt to play catchup.

One of those names is Advanced Micro Devices.

Check out the ground that $AMD has to cover to get back to all-time highs:

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Just Do It

May 29, 2024

My portfolio could benefit from some directional diversification right now. As such, I had my eye on a bearish bet this morning to help balance out my mostly directionally long exposure.

And one name that I and our analysts discussed in our meeting yesterday appears to be hanging on the precipice of a potentially large fall. The company will be announcing earnings on July 4th (who does that?) and I think that might be the final nail in the coffin to send this stock lower (if not sooner).

Brian Shannon Gets What He Deserves

May 28, 2024

If there is one thing that stands out from any conversation with Brian Shannon about the trading process, it is this:

For discretionary traders, there are no rules. Instead, there are "guidelines."

And because Brian is human, he occasionally breaks his guidelines and suffers the same consequences as anyone else. Everyone gets what they deserve. Even a trader of 30+ years like Brian Shannon.

If a trader buys the dip or sells the rip without a plan to control her risk then she, too, will get what she deserves. Eventually. The market is always on the hunt for our weaknesses.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] A Pipeline to Profits

May 28, 2024

Last week in Sonoma, we uncovered a bunch of potential trades that are setting up in a variety of sectors. But one of them is sending a glaring signal that it is ready for us to get involved right now, so let's not waste any time.

Check out this chart of CNX Resources Corp $CNX: