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[Options] This Mega Cap Is Not Like The Others

July 29, 2024

In today's Flow Show, Steve and I put our heads together to find a good trade to take advantage of elevated options premiums in a big-cap name that may have seen the worst of the selling and is now may be putting in a pivot.

That name is Amazon $AMZN and here's the chart where it stands right now:

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Trash is Cash!

July 26, 2024

Another man's trash is another man's treasure.

And that certainly is true for Republic Services.

As can be seen in the chart below, $RSG has certainly been winning over the long run. And with this week's earning report sending the down 5%, it feels like a great opportunity to get positioned on the dip.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Waiting It Out in the Berkshires

July 24, 2024

The Berkshires is a wonderful place to visit. And it can often be a great place to ride out the heat of summer.

Similarly, Berkshire Hathaway $BRK/B is often a great place to ride out the heat in the market.

And given the volatility backdrop in $BRK/B options, the options market is offering to pay us to catch the turn.

Let's get after it!

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] High Tech Vol

July 23, 2024

While I was away, volatility had a moment. And it's still hanging at pretty high levels, especially in tech stocks.

In the Technology sector ETF $XLK, we're seeing the highest implied volatility that we've experienced all year:

And with the chart of $XLK forming a range...

...this feels like a good opportunity to play for volatility mean reversion.

Here's the Play:

 

[Options] Going on a Viking Quest

July 15, 2024

In today's episode of The Flow Show, me and Steve Strazza talk about the uniquely interesting market we currently find ourselves in, and we delve into a sector that appears to be making a long overdue turn higher, and a stock within the sector that is positioned for a potentially monster breakout.

Here's the big picture setup of Viking Therapeutics $VKTX:

[Podcast] Michael Nauss is Our Kind of Geek

July 13, 2024

When Michael Nauss first sat down at a trading desk, his computer had a keyboard and a screen. But no mouse.

And his screen displayed an order book. But no charts.

Thus began his career as a scalper working the order book, who paid no attention at all to trends or technical analysis. He was simply trying to find spots to buy ahead of large buyers and flip the position out for a quick couple of ticks. Do this a couple hundred times per trading session and perhaps he’d have a successful day.

This was all part of Michael’s journey of learning to walk before he could run. And it is a mantra that sticks with him to this day as he himself continues to learn and helps many others learn the craft of trading.

Michael says: “Learning is often about “UN” learning.“ 

People are frequently drawn to trading by a social media personality or a brokerage advertisement, and they are like moths to the flame of fast riches and early retirement. Then they lose.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Trading Like a Tomcat

July 10, 2024

The All Star Charts analyst team continues to believe that the industrial sector will be one of the leading areas to lift the market higher as sector rotation works its magic to keep this bull market going.

And the chart of Caterpillar $CAT looks like a potential failed top in the making:

If we're right, $CAT could quickly recapture all-time highs north of $382 per share and then the sky's the limit from there.

[Options] This Setup is Precious

July 8, 2024

The bull market is on, baby!

But if we expect it to continue, then we're going to need to see some rotation into some new sectors to bring fresh cash into the market and keep the wave going.

One sector that my Analysts feel has the potential to pick up the slack is Precious Metals. And the name that Steve Strazza and I discussed on today's Flow Show has the potential to ride the sector wave as well as play catch up to its big brother Gold.

Here's a chart of Wheaton Metals Corp $WPM:

Right Analysis. Wrong Result.

July 3, 2024

File this post in your "Trading Is Hard" file folder.

Back on May 29th, I published a bearish trade idea in Nike $NKE.

Here’s what I said about it:

[$NKE] appears to be hanging on the precipice of a potentially large fall. The company will be announcing earnings [in late June] and I think that might be the final nail in the coffin to send this stock lower (if not sooner).

[Options] Bet on Morgan

July 2, 2024

In today's Flow Show, Steve Strazza served up the opportunity that is revealing itself in the financials space.

So we looked for some vehicles to express our bullish thesis, while being mindful of upcoming earnings releases that will be kicking of earnings season in less than two weeks.

This is no time to enter trades with undefined risk. But if we can minimize the volatility, it would be best to consider those options.

We think we have just the right idea in Morgan Stanley.

Here's a one-year chart of $MS: