The speculative fever is returning in a big way.

Today's trade is in one of those names that has already benefited from the recent surge in stocks and crypto prices and is likely to continue thriving if this brewing mania is here to stay for a while longer.

Here's something we don't do very often -- we're going to patiently leg into a position.

Bottoms are a process, and we're taking a position that is betting on a turn on a much-maligned overseas market.

We think the turn can be messy and sloppy sideways for a little longer, which will allow us to get better prices if we go into it with a plan.

What if I’m wrong?

I get ideas. Sometimes crazy ones.

I see something in the charts, or read something in the news, or listen to something on spaces and it triggers me into taking action.

Sometimes I’ll take aggressive actions because this idea I have – wherever it came from – is something I feel strongly about. I feel that the odds are heavily stacked in my favor. Or perhaps the payoff, if I’m right, can be so overwhelmingly profitable that it’s impossible to ignore.

We all have these feels about certain trades we’re in from time to time, right?

We get excited. We get optimistic. We start counting our winnings before they’ve even hit our account. It becomes impossible not to daydream.

There’s nothing wrong with any of this.

But what if I’m wrong?

Like the Energizer Bunny, the bull market just keeps going...

Who am I to fight the trend?

Today's trade is a stock that has been consistently traveling the path of least resistance higher and we're betting on that trend continuing.

With bullish setups continuing to climb this week, I like the cushion this gives me to continue putting on some bearish bets to help smooth out any possible portfolio volatility that may be on the horizon.

Today's bearish "hedge" is a short bet in a technology name that is most definitely not keeping up with its peers.

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Many swing traders and investors are currently sitting on a First Class problem. But it’s a problem, nonetheless.

These traders are sitting in positions with huge open profits.

I can use NVDA as an example. But there are many, many big winning trends still acting well.

Those of us who like to style ourselves as Trend Followers will soon be faced with a difficult decision – how and when to determine when a trend has ended.

It’s easy in hindsight to look at a chart and spot the moment a trend was invalidated and an optimal exit price is clear. But in real-time, it’s not so easy. In fact, it’s impossible. Because contrary to popular belief, no trader can reliably and consistently predict the future.

But the stakes are high in these moments. For a trend follower, the occasional big wins are what we rely on to make our nut.

The life of a trend-following trader can best be described as long periods of near-constant frustration punctuated by short moments of fleeting bliss.

Today's trade is in a steel sector name that recently poked its head above a resistance level that had been capping the upside for over two years now.

As the stock consolidates its recent breakout, options premiums are quite low, offering us the opportunity to position in some longer-dated calls for a simple bet on higher prices.

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One of the things I’m trying to be better at this year is letting my winners ride.

In the past, I would often look to reduce my open risk in a winning trade too quickly because I was fearful of giving back hard won gains. I would let my emotions or my PnL dictate when I should exit a portion of a winning position.

Letting my emotions dictate anything is often a recipe for disaster – certainly for me.

Emotions are not an objective reason to exit a trade. We need to let PRICE tell us when our trades are invalidated or vulnerable. Price doesn’t lie, but emotions often do.

Easier said than done. Especially right now.

I believe the options market is underpricing the possibility of a downside surprise following earnings coming up in Hormel Foods $HRL.

So we're going place a long-shot bet that will pay gluttonously if we're right.

Healthcare continues to lead to the upside. While we already have a bullish bet on a sector ETF, it's time for us to drill in a little deeper in search of more beta if this trend is going to continue.

Today's trade is in a name that has been performing great off its December lows and has also been in a longer-term bull market. But only just recently has it begun to outperform against the broader stock market.

Check out this chart of Merck $MRK: