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AUD/JPY Calls in the Defense

May 12, 2022

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge

Defense wins championships. 

It’s important to remind ourselves of this as risk continues to come off the table.

The largest stocks in the world are losing critical support levels, and even the leaders are coming under pressure. Bonds are catching a defensive bid, credit spreads are as wide as they’ve been in years, and investors are fleeing to the dollar for safety.

Meanwhile, the classic risk barometer – the AUD/JPY – is breaking to fresh lows.

This all speaks of defensive positioning.

Here’s a daily chart of the AUD/JPY:

My #1 thing right now

May 10, 2022

The US Dollar is back up to its 2016 and 2020 highs.

On both of those occasions, the Dollar sold off and risk assets went on to do very well.

Is this time different?

Here's what it looks like:

[Premium] Q1 Playbook

May 9, 2022

As we progress into Q1 of Fiscal Year 2022-2023, this playbook outlines our thoughts on every asset class and our plan to profit.

This playbook will cover our macro view, touching on Equities, Commodities, Currencies, and Rates, as well as outline our views on the major nifty indices and the sector/thematic indices.

We also cover individual stocks we want to be buying to take advantage of the themes discussed in the playbook.

Are You Inflation Protected?

April 25, 2022

Are you seeing this?

Inflation Protected Treasuries are outpacing nominal yielding Treasury Bonds. We're now at the highest levels since the Great Financial Crisis.

For those new to fixed income, this is the bond market expressing its thoughts about inflation.

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[Premium] Q2 2022 Playbook

April 21, 2022

This is our ASC Research Q2 2022 Playbook.

With the current market environment giving us many mixed messages, what better time to dive in and see what's happening underneath the surface?

  • Stocks (International & U.S.)
  • U.S. Sectors & Industries
  • Market Breadth & Sentiment
  • Commodities
  • Currencies
  • Intermarket Analysis
  • Cryptocurrencies
  • New Trade Ideas
  • Overall Strategy

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[Premium] Mid-Month Conference Call Video Recording April 2022

April 19, 2022

This is the video recording of the April 2022 Mid-month Conference Call.

We discussed:

  • The Major U.S. Indexes and Current Technical Analysis
  • Commodities making multi-year highs vs Stocks
  • Our Sentiment Composite Indicator shows excess Pessimism
  • Value Stocks continue to lead vs Growth Stocks
  • Energy Stocks and Commodities Trades
  • Agriculture Stocks and Commodities
  • Base Metals & Precious Metals
  • The US Dollar vs US Dollar Index are very different
  • Global Markets: Pockets of Strength & Weakness
  • Bonds Yields and Yield Curves
  • What To Do With These Beat Up Growth Stocks
  • Bitcoin Correlations & New Crypto Trade Ideas

[Podcast] An Interview With Larry McDonald | Conversations with JC Parets

April 18, 2022

Today we sit down with my old pal Larry McDonald.

When it comes to the bond market, Larry is the guy I want to talk to. And with Bonds getting off to their worst start to a year, maybe ever, what better time than the present to dive into the fixed income markets?

While I had him, we also discussed the equities markets, commodities, metals and Crypto.

This was a fun one.

I hope you enjoy it as much as I did.

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[Premium] Mid-Month Conference Call Video Recording March 2022

March 21, 2022

This is the video recording of the March 2022 Mid-month Conference Call.

  • The Inflation Trade Persists - In Bonds & Commodities
  • Bearish Sentiment in Stocks - Setting Up For Further Squeeze
  • Stocks for Rising Rates Showing The Most Strength
  • Metals & Mining Stocks Still Showing Leadership
  • A lot of Bullish Retests In Global Markets Ex-U.S.
  • My Favorite Gold Stocks To Own Right Now
  • Which Growth Stocks to Bottom Fish Down Here
  • Why Aussie/Yen is so important to watch right now
  • Bitcoin AVWAP at 46K