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Potential Mean-Reversion Opportunities

May 13, 2019

When trading against the primary trend, there are a few things we look for to define our risk and raise our probability of success.

We outlined them in a post a while back, but they essentially boil down to the following:

  1. Our downside price target has been met.
  2. Prices undercut that price target and quickly reversed.
  3. Momentum diverged positively as prices made a new low.
  4. Prices are very extended from their mean (200-day moving average).
  5. Quick follow-through confirmed the supply/demand imbalance.
  6. Short interest in the stock (not required, but amplifies move).

We are now seeing a few potential opportunities given that stocks have been hit, some harder than others, over the last few weeks.