That’s the foundational premise of relative strength studies.
Remember, we always want to buy the strongest and sell the weakest. It sounds simple. But it’s impossible to overstate its importance.
One of the best ways to increase our probability of success is to buy assets that are trending higher on absolute terms while outperforming their alternatives.
Those are key ingredients of a strong uptrend. And it just so happens that gold checks both boxes…
Buyers taking control of a market heading into the weekend exude confidence. And Gold bugs have done it two weeks in a row now and counting, as they reclaimed the former 2011 highs.
So what’s next for precious metals?
Well, if Gold priced in other major currencies is any indication (which I think it is), it looks like new all-time highs.
Buyers taking control of a market heading into the weekend exude confidence. That describes gold bulls last Friday as they drove prices higher into the close.
To no surprise, Gold kicked off the new week gapping higher and rallying more than 2.5%. We call this bullish follow-through.
Silver is clawing its way back after breaking down from a month-long consolidation and undercutting a critical shelf of former lows.
As we talked about last week, it all comes down to risk appetite. Silver bid speaks to a healthy risk-seeking environment favoring all precious metals.
What will ignite a precious metal rally to new all-time highs?
We often discuss the dollar and real yields as critical catalysts for a sustained uptrend for gold and silver. It’s simple: These shiny rocks will struggle if the dollar and rates continue to rise.
But there’s more.
I want to share another crucial piece of the puzzle – commercial positioning.