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Silver ETF Hits New All-time Lows relative to the S&P500

July 23, 2022

I remember 2010-2011 like it was yesterday.

Precious metals were all the rage.

Silver miners were the meme stocks of their day.

There was so much money being made in Silver.

And then all that changed.

No one has heard from those silver surfers ever again.

And now here we are watching the Silver ETF $SLV close the week at its lowest price in history relative to the S&P500:

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[Premium] Q3 2022 Playbook

July 20, 2022

This is our ASC Research Q3 2022 Playbook.

Investors have a lot of questions right now. With sentiment and at some of the most pessimistic levels in history, what will it take for some of these trends to change in the second half of the year? I believe some major trends are already changing.

The Playbook takes a step back and looks at things from a more Structural perspective. If you're specifically looking for more tactical opportunities, you can check out this week's Live Mid-Month Conference Call.

Here's what we'll be discussing in our Q3 Playbook:

  • Stocks (International & U.S.)
  • U.S. Sectors & Industries
  • Market Breadth & Sentiment
  • Commodities
  • Currencies
  • Intermarket Analysis
  • Cryptocurrencies
  • New Trade Ideas
  • Overall Strategy

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[Premium] Mid-Month Conference Call Video Recording July 2022

July 19, 2022

This is the video recording of the July 2022 Mid-month Conference Call.

We discussed:

  • 34 Straight Weeks Of More New Lows Than New Highs
  • Strong Negative Correlation between Stocks & Dollars
  • DJIA & DJTA holding short-term support so far
  • S&P500 Remains Below overhead supply
  • Small-caps & Financials testing significant support levels
  • Europe's STOXX 600 back to 2000/2007 highs
  • Apple hits new All-time Relative Highs
  • US 10yr & 30yr Yields run into 2018 highs
  • Breakevens & EW Commodities peaked months ago before Yields
  • Still no expansion in the new 20 day highs or 63 highs lists
  • Commercial Hedgers remain historically long Crude Oil
  • Gold, Silver & Gold Miners break down to new 52-week lows
  • 10yr Minus 3-mo Yield Curve breaks down to follow 2s-10s
  • Bitcoin & Ethereum hold above former cycle peaks
  • New Trade Ideas: Both Long & Short

Not an inflation hedge. Not a safe haven.

July 12, 2022

The S&P 500 just had its worst first half in more than 50 years.

Based on CPI, if you’re in cash, you’re losing 8.5% a year.

This was the worst start to the Bond Market since 1842.

So what do you think gold is doing in that environment?

Down near new 52-week lows...

[Video] Fox Business w/ Charles Payne: Stocks, Gold & Semis

July 8, 2022

We're going on 32 consecutive weeks of more stocks making new lows than new highs.

In bull markets you see the opposite.

Gold has not been in an uptrend in almost 2 years. I think one day it eventually breaks out. But what's the rush?

Let it break out!

I discussed all of this and more with Charles Payne on Fox Business yesterday.

Here's the full clip:

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[Premium] Mid-Month Conference Call Video Recording June 2022

June 20, 2022

This is the video recording of the June 2022 Mid-month Conference Call.

We discussed:

  • The S&P500 and Dow Jones Composite stuck below overhead supply
  • Major US Indexes are below their AVWAPs from the COVID lows
  • 30 consecutive weeks of more stocks making new lows than new highs
  • Seasonality could become a tailwind in July
  • Sentiment is as bad for stocks as I've ever seen
  • Relative strength out of Chinese Internet and other "culprits"
  • Bitcoin near important support
  • The US Dollar controls all of this. All eyes on DXY
  • Breadth Deterioration in Commodities
  • Long opportunities in Financials
  • Defensive Sectors are vulnerable
  • Gold is still below overhead supply
  • Copper/Gold ratio breaking down pointing to lower rates
  • Japanese Yen hits new multi-decade lows
  • Buy the dip in bonds? I think so