There's been some downside volatility over the last few days.
When the market is indiscriminately selling off, we're looking for the small patches of green -- the names that are bucking the trend and resisting the selling pressure or even moving higher.
When the red of the market turns green, the green has a tendency to turn even greener.
It's relative strength at its best.
So given the current backdrop of this recent near-term volatility, let's pose the same question.
There's been some notable volatility over the last 24 hours, with Bitcoin and Ethereum losing 8% and 10% respectively over this period.
Throughout this recent selling, over $840 million worth of positions have been liquidated.
We want to emphasize that Bitcoin is still in its sideways range, and we haven't seen a decisive breakdown. As we outlined in yesterday's note, looking out longer timeframes, this merely seems like a springboard to further upside.
If Bitcoin is above 58,000, we need to continue giving the bulls the benefit of the doubt.
If on the other hand Bitcoin loses these lows, then a more defensive approach is likely better.
For those with longer timeframes, a potential retest of 53,000 would provide an excellent level to add to long-term spot positions, if we even get there (not the bet we're making).
Over the last few weeks, we've been making the case that Bitcoin is likely to resolve to the upside and head toward our first target of 85,000.
In a note we published last Monday, we outlined a variety of developments taking place that's been supporting our macro bullish thesis. Since then, Bitcoin has continued to consolidate following its run-up after achieving all-time highs, and we haven't seen any dramatic price action in either direction.
So, in today's post, we'll be revisiting some of the data points we're heavily weighing towards our approach in the coming weeks.
Price Stability at a Local Maximum
In recent weeks, we've been discussing the compression of volatility in a lot of crypto assets, primarily Bitcoin.
In the morning, the uptick in the CPI pushed Bitcoin immediately higher.
Throughout this short period, open interest spiked higher as longs jumped into late positions. This combined with FTX going offline contributed to a perfect storm for a minor shakeout of over-leveraged longs.
The beneficiaries of such a move would be widespread - down the cap scale of altcoins, and even in the individual stocks that are making crypto an increasing part of their operations.
So let's revisit how we're approaching the stocks in the crypto space, and identify the levels we're watching to manage risk and to take profits along the way.
Last week, we outlined that a big move was on the horizon, and the bias for prices over the coming weeks was higher. We were documenting the tightening volatility and the accumulation taking place on-chain, suggesting that upward price discovery was the most probable outcome.
Over the weekend, we've seen this play out in some respects, with Bitcoin breaking out of its tight range, which seems like the beginning of the next leg higher.
Now that Bitcoin is back above 65,000, we want to position aggressively long in anticipation of further strength into the remainder of the year.
The buzzword over the last few days has been the "Metaverse", but what is it, and why should we care?
Breaking all the headlines last week was the big tech news that Facebook was changing its name to Meta, realigning it with its future goals and ambitions. The metaverse is seen as the next iteration of the internet through virtual reality, primarily as a new way of experiencing the world of social media.
Following all this talk, virtual reality and gaming cryptocurrency protocols have caught a nice bid, with Decentraland and Sandbox up over +320% and +250%, respectively, since the Facebook Connect event.
And just take a look at the explosion in google searches about the metaverse: