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Dire Straits For King Dollar

May 11, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

Is the US Dollar Index $DXY on the brink of completing a massive reversal pattern to the downside? 

As more evidence comes into the picture, it's looking increasingly dire for the dollar. In fact, we're seeing it trend lower across all timeframes against almost all of its peers.

And this action has only gained steam over the last week as DXY has plunged to fresh multi-month lows.

Dollar weakness has been a nice tailwind for risk assets since its peak in March of last year. Any additional downside pressure in the coming weeks, months, and even quarters would not surprise us... especially if this daunting double-top pattern breaks lower. If and when this happens, further weakness from both a tactical and structural standpoint is exactly the bet we'll be making.

[Podcast] A Canadian Perspective w/ CIBC Portfolio Manager David Cox

April 12, 2021

In a market environment where Financials and Natural Resources have become leadership groups, how do we not have a conversation about Canada? Taking that one step further, we need to talk about how any investor, whether living in Canada or not, can take advantage of a potential structural swing in the trend for Canadian Equities.

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Canadian Investors' Dream Environment

March 15, 2021

Value stocks, Financials, Energy, Industrials and Materials.

If that doesn't scream Canada, then I don't know what does!

Here's what the breakdown looks like:

With Canada's biggest sector breaking out, how can we not be all over this?

Notice the new highs accompanied by positive momentum readings:

We had to put together a short video breaking down the major Canadian Indexes and Sectors. You'll also find some interesting trades in here.

There's a lot going on so let's dive right in.

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Favorable Conditions For Canadian Investors

March 7, 2021

The Canadian economy is dominated by Financials and has a diverse and abundant exposure to natural resources. Despite the close proximity, the composition of the country's stock market couldn't be more different from that of the US.

They have a much higher relative exposure to areas like Financials, Energy, and Materials... Basically, all the things that are working.

On the other hand, they have significantly lower exposure to areas like Technology, Health Care, and Discretionary... Basically, all the areas that are NOT currently working.

Stocks @ New Highs + Fear @ New Highs = Bullish

February 9, 2021

I was away from the office last week with the team, but I was still able to pop into BNN Bloomberg for a quick hit.

We discussed the fact that fear among investors is off the charts, stocks are in uptrends and breadth is expanding. I think the beginning of the new Commodities Supercycle is bullish for stocks and just another tailwind to take them higher.

If the tv anchors think I'm making a bold call by suggesting that stocks in uptrends will go higher, then we're probably not near a top.

Here's the interview in full:

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[Premium] The Canadian Miners We're Buying

September 16, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

In yesterday's Members-Only Conference Call, we outlined our view on Precious Metals and provided several new trade ideas in the space.

All of the Miners we looked at were US-listed, so today I want to look to those listed on the TSX to outline which have the best reward/risk at current levels.

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Buying These Canadian Stocks

July 20, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Last time we wrote about Canada, our primary focus was on the breakouts occurring in many of the Gold Miners.

This time, we're looking for stocks displaying long-term trends of absolute momentum and relative strength...and we're buying them.

Let's get into the charts.

Here's Canadian national Railway going out at all-time highs last week. From a structural perspective, this signals the continuation of the stock's long-term uptrend and indicates a target up towards 160. If you want to keep your risk management tight, then 128 is the level, but if you want to give it more room then this thesis remains intact if prices are above 120.

Click on chart to enlarge view.