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April Strategy Session: 3 Key Takeaways

April 11, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We held our April Monthly Strategy Session last week. Premium Members can click here to review the recording and download the chartbook.

Non-members can get a quick recap of the call simply by reading this post each month.

By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, the idea is to take a step back and put things into the context of their structural trends.

This is easily one of our most valuable exercises, as it forces us to put aside the day-to-day noise and simply examine markets from a “big picture” point of view.

With that as our backdrop, let’s dive right in and discuss three of the most important charts and/or themes from this month’s call.

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Internals of Value

January 18, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge

One of the most important themes these days is the rotation between growth and value stocks. Groups like energy and financials have been breaking to new highs while growth and tech indexes have come under serious pressure.

So far, 2022 has been a true tale of two markets.

While cyclicals and value stocks appear to be gearing up for a momentous year, it looks like the party is finally coming to an end for the growth trade.

We want to lean on the value-heavy leadership groups for long opportunities in 2022. As for growth, we think it's likely to remain messy as interest rates continue to rise.  

When we look beneath the surface at growth and value stocks right now, our breadth data is confirming the action we’re seeing at the sector level.

Let’s dive in and discuss... 

Here's one way to visualize the opposing paths of large-cap value and large-cap growth right now. This indicator shows us the percentage of stocks above their 50-day moving averages for each of these indexes: