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[Premium] Mid-Month Conference Call Video Recording June 2022

June 20, 2022

This is the video recording of the June 2022 Mid-month Conference Call.

We discussed:

  • The S&P500 and Dow Jones Composite stuck below overhead supply
  • Major US Indexes are below their AVWAPs from the COVID lows
  • 30 consecutive weeks of more stocks making new lows than new highs
  • Seasonality could become a tailwind in July
  • Sentiment is as bad for stocks as I've ever seen
  • Relative strength out of Chinese Internet and other "culprits"
  • Bitcoin near important support
  • The US Dollar controls all of this. All eyes on DXY
  • Breadth Deterioration in Commodities
  • Long opportunities in Financials
  • Defensive Sectors are vulnerable
  • Gold is still below overhead supply
  • Copper/Gold ratio breaking down pointing to lower rates
  • Japanese Yen hits new multi-decade lows
  • Buy the dip in bonds? I think so

Global Market Losing its Brea(d)th

June 17, 2022

Time and again, we've been referring to how Nifty50 has been displaying more resilience compared to its international counterparts. While the Indian markets have come under heavy pressure this week, global markets have been reeling under that pressure for longer.

So today, we're here to provide a perspective of where the global indices are, just to get an idea of the kind of market environment we're in.

The Adorable "Return Free Risk"

June 2, 2022

The bears are getting creative with their theories.

You notice?

And there are a lot of bears out there. More than we've seen in a long, long time depending on how exactly you're counting them.

So the big question is whether we've seen A bottom or if we've seen THE bottom.

And the truth is no one knows until after the fact.

All we can do is continue to collect the data as it comes in and make the best decisions with incomplete information.

The first thing that needs to happen before stocks can go up, is that they need to stop going down.

That's just math.

And what's interesting is that with lower lows in the price of most major U.S. Indexes a couple of weeks ago, fewer stocks were actually able to make new lows....

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[Premium] Mid-Month Conference Call Video Recording May 2022

May 19, 2022

This is the video recording of the May 2022 Mid-month Conference Call.

We discussed:

  • The average stock down 30-45% depending on the exchange
  • Most consecutive weeks of more new lows than new highs since 2008
  • How will US Dollar near former highs impact stocks
  • Energy Stocks & Commodities at a Critical Juncture
  • Major Bond Futures Contracts at Key Support: 2s, 5, 10s & 30s
  • Consumer Discretionary the worst performing sector
  • New Short Ideas in Growth
  • Stocks Showing Relative Strength bucking the trend
  • International weakness - stocks are below overhead supply
  • Commercial Hedgers continue to buy Energy Futures
  • Precious metals underperforming stocks and commodities
  • Chilean Lithium continues to shine
  • Agriculture stocks and commodities still trending higher
  • A look into some recent insider transactions
  • Crypto at key support levels, similar to the bond market

[Premium] Q1 Playbook

May 9, 2022

As we progress into Q1 of Fiscal Year 2022-2023, this playbook outlines our thoughts on every asset class and our plan to profit.

This playbook will cover our macro view, touching on Equities, Commodities, Currencies, and Rates, as well as outline our views on the major nifty indices and the sector/thematic indices.

We also cover individual stocks we want to be buying to take advantage of the themes discussed in the playbook.

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[Premium] Q2 2022 Playbook

April 21, 2022

This is our ASC Research Q2 2022 Playbook.

With the current market environment giving us many mixed messages, what better time to dive in and see what's happening underneath the surface?

  • Stocks (International & U.S.)
  • U.S. Sectors & Industries
  • Market Breadth & Sentiment
  • Commodities
  • Currencies
  • Intermarket Analysis
  • Cryptocurrencies
  • New Trade Ideas
  • Overall Strategy

20 Weeks of More New Lows Than New Highs

April 12, 2022

In bull markets we see more stocks making new highs than new lows.

I know that probably sounds like common sense, but you'd be surprised....

It's really just basic math. You need more stocks going up and making new highs, than stocks going down and making new lows.

And although we did see a couple of days of more new highs than new lows recently, we haven't seen that for a sustained period, yet.

In fact, we're going on 20 straight weeks of more new lows than new highs.