Welcome to our latest RPP Report, where we publish return tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
We consider this our weekly state of the union address as we break down and reiterate both our tactical and structural outlook on various asset classes and discuss the most important themes and developments currently playing out in markets all around the world.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
As investors, we have plenty of options.
We can express a bullish or bearish thesis in a variety of different asset classes - from stocks and commodities to bonds and even forex or crypto markets.
But in making the decision of which one of these areas to focus our attention, we must ask ourselves a critical question every now and then...
Where is the best place to allocate our capital?
Money flows to where it is treated best. And that’s always where we want our focus to be.
Remember, we’re here to make money, not fulfill our intellectual curiosities or express our values.
Lucky for us, determining where the alpha is as simple as performing a little intermarket analysis.
So let’s dive in and do just that.
Earlier this year, when the SPY/TLT ratio hit a key extension level, we knew we were at a logical place for stocks to take a break and bonds to get a shot at taking leadership.
We're going to flip the script a bit this week with our RPP Report. We typically don't publish a report during week's where we have a monthly conference call as JC covers our positioning and summarizes our key themes and views there.
But we didn't do one last week either because we had just published our Q3 Playbook which laid out our current position in a painfully detailed manner (it was 250 pages!).
In today's post, we're simply going to recap our "Key Themes For The Current Quarter" and update clients on some major developments that have taken place in the past few weeks.
We've got some important things to cover so let's get right to it!
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
Earlier in the week, we held our July Monthly Conference Call, which Premium Members can access and rewatch here.
In this post, we’ll do our best to summarize it by highlighting five of the most important charts and/or themes we covered, along with commentary on each.
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge
It's a tale of two markets.
The weight of the evidence remains mixed across asset classes. We also continue to see more and more risk assets struggle at overhead supply. This is particularly true for equity and commodity markets.
From an intermarket perspective, most risk appetite ratios and risk-on relative trends are either moving lower or are rangebound.
Simply put, there's little in terms of directional edge for investors. The data remains split right down the middle -- and there are sound arguments for both the bull and bear case.
Although the information we're getting from the Bond Market is much more consistent these days. And what we're seeing is suggesting lower yields for longer.
With the current market environment giving us many mixed messages, what better time to dive in and see what's happening underneath the surface?
Stocks (International & U.S.)
U.S. Sectors & Industries
Market Breadth & Sentiment
Commodities
Currencies
Intermarket Analysis
Crypto Currencies
New Trade Ideas
Overall Strategy
We've also made it really easy to navigate through this 242 page report by organizing the tabs for you. So be sure to open the PDF and use these tools to make your life easier.
Welcome to our latest RPP Report, where we publish return tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
We consider this our weekly state of the union address as we break down and reiterate both our tactical and structural outlook on various asset classes and discuss the most important themes and developments currently playing out in markets all around the world.
We've been pretty obnoxious about our position that markets are a total mess these days. But it is what it is, and we can only play the hand we're dealt.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
Earlier in the week, we held our June Monthly Conference Call, which Premium Members can access and rewatch here.
In this post, we’ll do our best to summarize it by highlighting 5 of the most important charts and/or themes we covered, along with commentary on each.