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Hot Corner Insider

The Hot Corner Insider (12-1-2023)

December 1, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

It’s a bull market. November, being one of the best months in history, acts as a great reminder of that.

It’s time to be aggressive.

We want to press our winners.

We want to buy short-term continuation breakouts.

We want to buy fresh reversal patterns.

We want to buy new all-time highs.

That’s the market we’re in. Let’s act accordingly.

Here are some of our favorite hot corner setups right now:

Historic November As The Bull Market Continues....

December 1, 2023

Remember when they told you Black Monday was coming?

Remember how the yield curve was the greatest indicator of recessions and bear markets ever?

How about that time they told you a war was a bad thing for stocks?

The best one was how they told you that market breadth was weak. "It's only 7 stocks, JC", lol.

None of the people telling you these things actually took the time to count how many stocks were going up.

If they had, then they wouldn't have to tell you fairytales about recessions and credit events.

As it turns out, November was one of the greatest months in stock market history:

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Junior International Hall of Famers (11-30-2023)

December 1, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Junior International Hall of Famers.

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

This scan is composed of the next 100 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 100 and are thus covered by the International Hall of Famers universe.

Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original International Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

Let's dive right in and check out what these future big boys are up to.

This is our Junior International Hall of Famers list:

Click table to enlarge view

Helium on the Rise

November 30, 2023

Now's the time.

If you don't have exposure to cryptocurrency in one shape or another in your portfolio, you're missing out. But, it's not too late. In fact, we think this is the perfect time to get aggressive.

With Bitcoin above 30,000, this needs to be an area we're pressing our bets on. When this asset class gets going, nothing can stop it. And now, with all these coins successfully resolving higher out of long-term reversal patterns, we're of the stern view that now is the time to get involved.

Expect to see a lot of trade ideas out of this space in the coming months...

One such name we discussed at length in the previous cycle was Helium $HNT. In fact, as a fun experiment, the team all tried their hands at Helium mining. But as the tide turned in 2022, Helium was one of the worst-hit names in the entire asset class, falling into a whopping 98% drawdown.

Strazza will gladly tell you he has helium miners all over the Florida Keys that he no longer pays attention to. That's the right kind of sentiment we want to see at the back of a primary trend reversal.

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The Short Report (11-29-2023)

November 29, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

[Options] Cloudflaring

November 29, 2023

During our Analyst meeting this morning, the idea I brought to the table was a long bet in Cloudflare $NET.

I like that it's just starting to break above a level of resistance that has been in place for the better part of two years.

My initial thought was to make a short-term tactical bet on a run to $100, but then I noticed that in the June options expiration series, the highest strike available is $110. Clearly the CBOE doesn't read All Star Charts research and our belief that this stock could touch $130 per share over the next 3-6 months!

Check out this chart of $NET and you'll see a move to $130 doesn't seem that outlandish at all:

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The Stage Is Set for a Rip-Roaring Canadian Dollar Rally

November 29, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Fiat money worldwide is sidelining the dollar.

Emerging market currencies were the first to strike. Now, their developed market counterparts have joined the fray.

The result: Global equities and precious metals are catching a bid.

After a challenging second half, perhaps the year's final weeks will be a layup for stock and forex traders.

And with the Australian and New Zealand dollars completing tactical reversals against the USD, the Canadian dollar could be next…

Check out Canadian dollar futures bouncing off support:

Good thing they're wrong so often

November 29, 2023

“If people weren’t wrong so often, we wouldn’t be so rich” - Charles Thomas Munger

R.I.P. Legend.

Charlie, of course known for his fundamental analysis alongside Warren Buffett all these years, was a closet Technician at heart.

His analysis of human behavior was top notch, particularly misbehavior and stupid behavior.

His comment to Warren about the reason they were so rich was because people are so often wrong, was spot on.

If you've been paying attention, we use this to our advantage quite a bit.

For example, twelve months ago Wall Street strategists forecasted an outright fall for stocks in 2023, the first time this century that they had predicted a loss...

Investors are still sad

November 28, 2023

It's amazing when you think about it.

The stock market is having a historic year. The S&P500 is up over 20% so far, with one of the best months of the year still ahead.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is just 2% from new all-time highs.

And the Nasdaq100 got off to its best start to a year in history, and has already returned over 46% for 2023.

What's odd is that with all this good news, investors are still sad.

It's hard to quantify sentiment data, but I think we do as good of a job as anyone else out there.

When you aggregate all the data and include a variety of different polls and indicators, somehow investors are still extremely pessimistic:

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Don’t Leggo This EGO

November 27, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Mining stocks are breaking out.

All four names we outlined in last week's Gold Rush Video have triggered buy signals.

The tide appears to swing in favor of the gold bugs.

And, based on Monday’s bullish price action, perhaps it’s just the beginning.

Check out the next gold miner most likely to break loose…

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Under the Hood (11-27-2023)

November 27, 2023

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the week ended November 24, 2023. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.