Our International Hall Of Famers list is composed of the largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs. We’ve also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut.
These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.
It’s got all the big names and more--but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall Of Famers list.
The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.
We take the 50 largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness. Due to the recent volatility, we’re going to do that today.
Let’s dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.
Cotton and coffee continue to rip. Crude oil and the energy space are grinding higher. Live cattle are breaking out. Even precious metals are starting to catch a bid.
Fast forward to today, and Ags have emerged as the clear leaders over the near term. They’ve been ripping higher while the majority of the commodity space retests critical levels of former resistance and continues to consolidate.
The fact that grains, softs, and livestock are marching higher while their peers are under pressure, tells us this is an area we should focus on for long opportunities. It’s where the relative strength is right now.
You can see what things looked like coming into Thanksgiving in this week's RPP Report.
But with the prices of many key assets now below critical levels, we wonder if this is just more of a messy market, or the beginning of something bigger.
Here is the S&P500 stuck below this overhead supply from earlier this month, but above former resistance from September.
You know how parents always tell you nothing good ever happens after midnight? Well in the S&P500, nothing good happens below 4500:
If we're below that then there is a probably a much bigger problem out there, and the heaviest cash positions in 18 months would be warranted.
What we do here is take a chart that’s captured our attention, and remove the x and y-axes as well as any other labels that could help identify it.
This chart can be of any security, in any asset class, on any timeframe. Sometimes it’s an absolute price chart, other times it’s on a relative basis.
It might be a ratio, a custom index, or maybe the price is inverted. It could be all three!
The point is, when we aren’t able to recognize what’s in front of us, we put aside any biases we may have and scrutinize the price behavior objectively.
While you can try to guess the chart, the point is to make a decision…
So, let us know what it is… Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?
In this podcast episode I sit down with one of my favorite technicians of all-time - John Roque. This is one of those people who influenced my thinking very early on. The combination of his simplicity along with sports analogies to describe market behavior made me a huge fan of his right away. This was about 15 years ago.
Since then, you'll here me throw out John Roqueisms all the time. I learned a lot from his way of thinking.
In this conversation we talk about the stock market, Gold, Bitcoin and Tech stocks. John also shares some fun stories about those who inspired him throughout his career and some of the things he’s learned more recently.
Welcome to our latest RPP Report, where we publish return tables for various asset classes and categories, along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
We consider this our state of the union address, as we break down and reiterate both our tactical and structural outlook on various asset classes. Our ultimate goal is to discuss the most important themes and developments that are currently playing out in markets around the world.
There's been plenty of action these past few weeks. Let's kick things off with stocks and try to make sense of what we're seeing.
We have 2 new Options trades this week as our Thanksgiving Pairing. A Bull Call Spread in Unity Software $U and Bullish Risk Reversal in Cheniere Energy $LNG.
Here are the plays:
We're buying a $U February 200/250 Bull Call Spread for around a $10.00 debit.
And an $LNG June 90/130 Bullish Risk Reversal for an approximately 25 cents net credit.
Check out our short video with the thought process behind these trades:
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley
You already know how we feel about the US Bond Market.
We like the short side when it comes to treasuries.
Lately, we’ve been keeping a close eye on the long end of the curve since it hasn’t kept pace with shorter-term yields. Though this is still the case, the 30-year yield has found support in recent weeks as rates continue to rise across the curve.
This should keep the bulls happy for now as an environment where long rates are making new lows is not supportive of higher prices for risk assets.
But that’s not what’s happening. We remain in a rising-rate environment and don’t see signs of that changing anytime soon. As long as this remains the case, we want to be selling bonds and betting on higher prices for risk assets.
Key Takeaway: A healthy level of optimism ushers investors into the holiday season. But lofty expectations are neither reflected in price nor supported by breadth. Participation is struggling to expand beneath the surface and cyclical areas of the market are retesting critical levels of support. A narrow rally running on empty leaves the market vulnerable to disappointment and could challenge high spirits. The question becomes how patient will investors be, especially since consumer sentiment is in the dumps. If the fish aren’t biting, some may prefer to cut bait.
Sentiment Report Chart of the Week: Consumers Are Cranky
Given an opportunity, JC will gladly talk your ear off about proper wine pairings for your Thanksgiving meals. No matter your flavor or preference, JC can find something that works. After all, he did get his sommeliers certification.
During this morning's analyst meeting, we were discussing what trade we wanted to put on today and we had two great ideas. We debated the merits of each, and we couldn't decide which one we liked best right now.
Stock 1 or Stock 2?
Bills or Dolphins?
Gators or Hurricanes?
Cats or Dogs?
And then in typical JC fashion he said:
Why not both?
And my response was: "Of course! Why not? We'll call it a Thanksgiving Pairing!"
