If you're like me and you have a bullish long-term bias towards Bitcoin and other Crypto assets, then you're constantly looking for opportunities to get exposure.
But with equities in the middle of a bull market, we also don't want to be in something that isn't moving.
This is the time to make money. So we want to make sure we're in the things that can make us money NOW, not "one day hopefully in the future..."
Take a look at the price of Bitcoin still working on completing this multi-year base.
The question we're asking ourselves today is a big one.
Is the US Dollar breaking down from a multi-year consolidation?
With the dollar rangebound all year, we haven’t experienced a trending currency market.
When the dollar is trending higher or lower, we have a good idea of the impact it is likely to have on other markets.
However, when it is trendless, the dollar is neither a headwind nor a tailwind for risk assets.
We think that could be changing.
Here's a weekly line chart showing the U.S. Dollar Index making new year-to-date lows:
As you can see, the US dollar bears have taken control and resolved this multi-year consolidation to the downside.
Here's another way to look at it.
The index is trading at the lower bounds of a well-tested range. Notice the flat 200-day moving average, illustrating the sideways nature of the primary trend.
This morning, the team was discussing a notable Board of Directors insider making a sizeable $5 million purchase of stock.
While an insider's buy isn't necessarily grounds for me to get interested in getting involved, it did catch our attention and after looking at the chart and the sector, it looks like a trade we'd like to get into--carefully.
There's nothing to provide updates on, nor any new trade opportunities I have seen.
I am reiterating the message earlier in the week.
I think this is a good place to add long-term exposure, but do not believe it to be good for short-term trading opportunities; more patience is needed here.
Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended August 16, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.
What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.
There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.
Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual...
New all-time highs and fresh breakouts are dotting the charts. Buy signals are flashing left and right. And even the laggards – Palladium and Platinum – are refusing to break down.
Best of all, Gold has a one-track mind: up and to the right!