From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Labor Day weekend in Wisconsin usually means one last summer trip up north for one last summer swim in the lake.

For me, this also meant the final jump off the giant raft we built (a ton of steel sitting on 12 barrels, with multiple jumping platforms and a slide that ends six feet above the water). Then, it was time to bring it back to shore to disassemble it for winter storage.  

Driving south toward Milwaukee at the end of the long weekend, I saw all sorts of summer toys being towed home for the winter. While it was not quite as warm as in August and the sunset came a bit sooner than it did in July, it was still a lovely evening and a chance to look back and also look ahead.

Our live Monthly Strategy Session concluded last night. For all the premium subscribers, this is where you can access/rewatch the video.

This post is an exercise we do for the non-members to give them an idea of the research we carry out at All Star Charts.

The Monthly Strategy Calls started out as a selfish endeavour whereby we wanted to stay in the loop and follow the big-picture trends. It's like recentering your navigation system to avoid taking the wrong turn. Then we realised this could be helpful to you guys as well! Just to step back and identify the larger trend.

Watching some of these cryptos, you wouldn't even know Bitcoin just got a 15% haircut after $4B worth of positions were steamrolled.

Take a look at Solana...

We thought that this extension target, particularly in the face of the recent action, would act as a logical level to consolidate these gains. But, buyers have continued their charge.

When the market completely ignores these extensions, that's information...

We debuted a new scan recently- The Outperformers.

The Outperformers is our newest scan that pinpoints the very best stocks in the market. It’s the fastest, easiest way to find quality names that are primed for major moves.

The goal is that as the market rally progresses, the sector rotation within the market will reflect in this scan. So while our Top/Down Analysis helps us with the broader view of the market, this Bottom/Up scan makes sure that we catch the slightest change in sentiment.

On September 8th, Sean and JC hopped on a Twitter Live Stream to discuss a recent trade idea for All Star Charts Options Members.

Here's the play:

"I like a $BSX Nov/Mar 50-strike Call Calendar spread for a $1.15 debit or cheaper. This means I’ll be long the March 50 calls and short an equal amount of November 50 calls for a net debit which represents the most I can lose in this trade if it short-circuits on us."

To learn more about the trade and the thinking behind it, click below to watch a replay of the Live Stream.

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Risks remain elevated from a sentiment perspective. The bulls continue to hold court as bears are relatively absent despite their rise in recent weeks. Though there are signs that the extended reign in optimism may face a new challenge. Earnings revisions have ceased to rise, taking with it a tailwind that has accompanied the bulls for over a year. Without that tailwind, the possibility of a larger sentiment response to downside pressure on stocks increases. Lower prices have a tendency to beget a pessimistic outlook that in turn begets lower prices. This negative feedback loop could fuel a more complete unwind in sentiment than has been seen to date.

Sentiment Report Chart of the Week: Earnings Revisions Stall

Optimistic investors have been benefiting from the tailwind provided by steady upward trend in earnings revisions. That trend has not yet rolled over, but it has...

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

We held our September Monthly Strategy Session last night. Premium Members can access and rewatch it here.

Non-members can get a quick recap of the call simply by reading this post each month. 

By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, the idea is to take a step back and put things into the context of their structural trends. This is easily one of our most valuable exercises as it forces us to put aside the day-to-day noise and simply examine markets from a “big-picture” point of view.

With that as our backdrop, let’s dive right in and discuss three of the most important charts and/or themes from this month’s call.

...That's how we're supposed to do it, right?

JC & Strazza were riffing this morning on the strength in the Medical Equipment space and so we started brainstorming on some names to play since we expect the strength to continue.

There were a few names bandied about, but the chart and setup that most caught my attention was Boston Scientific Corp $BSX.

What I liked most was the recent consolidation which can act as a solid base of support for a move higher -- which would be all-time highs breaking out of a nearly 20 year base! As JC likes to say: "The bigger the base, the higher in space!" Seems this opportunity has a good shot at that:

That was quite the day yesterday...

We experienced $3.5B worth of long liquidations in the last 24 hours, with over $1.8B taking place in under an hour at the height of the crash.

Source: ByBt

Bitcoin's total open interest across all exchanges has fallen by a mighty 23%, and Ethereum's OI fell by 25%:

Source: Glassnode

Combined with this, we've seen a 21% reduction in the amount of futures contracts margined with US Dollars, along with a 7% drop in crypto-margined contracts.

That's a sizeable amount of leverage that's been flushed from the system in what can be seen as a healthy reset.

Bitcoin's aggregate average funding rate of perpetual futures positions has fallen into negative territory for the first time since July.

A funny thing happened back in May.

The Cyclicals stopped going up. You can see it in the NYSE Advance-Decline line, which has been falling ever since.

But you can really see it when you overlay the Industrials with Materials and Financials.

Chop Chop Chop:

This is the video recording of our September 7, 2021 Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session