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Hold Your Nose And Buy Disney?

June 28, 2023

Is it time to just hold your nose and buy Disney down here?

Sector rotation has been working.

The laggards are catching a bid.

Is Disney the next stock that money is going to rotate into?

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What Does a Weaker Yuan Mean for US Stocks?

June 27, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Most emerging market currencies have been in beast mode.

The Chinese yuan is a notable exception.

In fact, most Asian currencies haven’t fared well against the dollar over the trailing three months.

Latin American and Eastern European currencies – mainly the Brazilian real and the Mexican peso – are driving these markets.  

Analyzing these currencies through the Emerging Currency Fund $CEW as it makes new 52-week highs is useful.

But I’m more interested in the Chinese yuan as it slips and slides against the dollar.

Why? 

China represents the world’s second-largest economy.

And, based on the charts, the yuan could provide valuable insight into the direction of US stocks…

Check out the relationship of the US dollar to the offshore yuan, or the renminbi (USD/CNH):

The USD/CNH is the...

Fear

June 27, 2023

“What are you afraid of?”

JC posed this question to me yesterday on the Morning Show.

For context, he was asking me about our upcoming 21-day trip to 8 cities in Southeast Asia.

I might have surprised myself when I quickly and confidently answered: “Nothing.”

And I meant it.

I’ve actually been thinking a lot about this topic lately.

“Fear” is such a powerful and loaded word. It toys with our emotions. While often protecting and keeping us safe, our fear-stoked emotions also can trigger us into making poor – and sometimes awful – decisions.

All our best-laid plans go out the window when fear takes over.

...

Swing Trader Pro: Morning Briefing (06-27-2023)

June 27, 2023

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

$SPY and $QQQ had played catch-up to $DIA and $IWM, but they've moved down to their respective 21-day moving averages.

We've been heading lower for a week now, and we have a holiday coming up next week.

The market typically likes to rally before a holiday weekend.

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Under the Hood (06-26-2023)

June 26, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the week ended June 23, 2023.

This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.  

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options...

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Follow the Flow (06-26-2023)

June 26, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.

In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.

And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think...

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All Star Charts Gold Rush

For Gold, It’s Just Another Manic Monday

June 26, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Buyers are holding the line. 

The former 2011 highs remain front and center for gold futures – and all precious metals.

These shiny rocks will experience increased selling if gold slips back below those former highs marking the prior commodity supercycle peak. 

Silver, palladium, and the Gold Mining ETF $GDX are already printing fresh lows. And new multi-month lows for the silver/gold ratio indicate dwindling risk appetite.

These aren’t the type of developments that support a sustained uptrend.

Yet this action hasn’t deterred gold bugs.

Despite every reason to sleep in and shirk any and all responsibilities, they continue to show up right on time…