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Will Rising Rates Lead to a Stock Market Bloodbath?

August 3, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Rates are on the move again.

The US 30-year Treasury yield $TYX cleared numerous hurdles this week. 

It broke above a shelf of former highs, climbing to its highest level year-to-date. And, perhaps more importantly, it reclaimed its former 2014 high.

Add a potential failed breakdown in the US dollar index $DXY, and it’s starting to feel a lot like 2022.

But should we expect another bloodbath?

…Not necessarily.

Here’s a quick look at the US 30-year yield resolving higher from an 8-month consolidation:

The chart tells the story: Interest rates are kicking off the next leg higher as the underlying uptrend remains intact.

It’s no longer a matter of whether rates will fall later this year. It’s now more a...

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2 to 100 Club

2 to 100 Club (08-02-2023)

August 2, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

As many of you know, something we've been working on internally is using various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach.

It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their...

[Options] True Pioneers

August 2, 2023

Sector rotation continues to pump new blood into the bull market that's been running for over a year now (yes, over a year, hater). And as it does, we love getting into stocks that are late joiners. These stocks have seen some tremendous rips. Just look at the chart of Caterpillar ($CAT) as but one of numerous examples I can point to. That's what today's trade has the potential to do.

Our Commodities Analyst Ian Culley recently reported on several energy stocks we need to be paying attention to. And one of them just got earnings out of the way. Implied volatility priced into its options was already suspiciously low before the earnings report, so this sets up a great opportunity for a simple long calls play.

And we've got a big round number up ahead that would represent new all-time highs which should act as a magnet to help us out.

Director Brauer Reports a CBSH Buy

August 2, 2023

The largest insider transaction on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by Blackford (Beau) F. Brauer, director at Commerce Bancshares $CBSH.

Brauer reported a purchase of CBSH shares worth $265,003.