From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

Today’s most significant insider transaction comes in a Form 4 filing by Block $SQ director Roelof Botha.

Botha reported a $27 million purchase of SQ shares.

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the week ended November 11, 2023. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply...

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.

In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.

And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think...

This is definitely a "hard" trade. Hard because it's already had a tremendous run this month. Hard because it's in a name that people often don't associate with big bull runs, in a sector that definitely isn't sexy.

And maybe we're early, positioning just about when it's about to take a pause or retrace to digest recent gains. Maybe.

The only way to find out is to get involved.

The hard trades pay precisely because they are hard.

In today's Daily Digest, we'll review:

1. Any new position added today
2. Adjustment made to an existing position (if any)
3. Any exits since last report
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let's dig in!

Technical Analysis is the study of the behavior of the market, and therefore market participants.

We're analyzing how humans behave.

That's the edge that a good technician has over other types of investors.

Conditions change. Market environments go through different cycles. But the humans act in similar ways.

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here's this week's list:

...

From the Desk of Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts

One of the most important themes this year has been the persistent outperformance from mega-cap technology.

These equities have demonstrated outstanding relative strength again in recent weeks, and we're not seeing any signs of this trend slowing down.

Today, we have an excellent vehicle for expressing our bullish thesis on these leaders.

Let's get into it.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

What a wild broad-market reversal yesterday!

Powell supposedly stated the obvious or blurted out what was on everyone’s mind. I don’t know. I haven’t watched the video or reviewed yesterday’s treasury auction. 

And I won’t.

I’m more interested in the “what,” not the “why,” as the former has proven far more valuable for navigating markets.

Nevertheless, the message is clear: no one wants to buy bonds. 

It makes sense to me…

Check out 30-year T-Bond futures:

Long-duration bonds are in a clear downtrend, stair-stepping lower.

Last week’s rally in US Treasuries was impressive. But based on the chart, it appears to be a standard retest of the 2022 lows – nothing more.

As far as I’m concerned,...

[12/4/23: updated stop to 100]

Crypto is showing signs of a resurgence. With Bitcoin trading north of $35,000 this week, many of the old bulls are coming out of the woodwork calling for the next crypto run.

Well, if the next run is soon at hand, today's trade is in a company that is certainly positioned to benefit from any uptick in sh*t coin trading volumes.

In today's Daily Digest, we'll review:

1. Any new position added today
2. Any exits since last report
3. Adjustment made to an existing position (if any)
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let's dig in!