One thing we've learned from well over 100 years of Tradfi, is that during bull markets the laggards catch up to the leaders.
We see the opposite during bear markets, where the remaining leaders end up catching down to the culprits that are already leading the way lower.
You see, with Bitcoin and Ethereum getting all the headlines with their new highs this month, Solana had been the largest crypto currency that was missing in action.
And well here you have it, Solana now joining the party, and being added to the new 52-week high list:
These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.
This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Monday March 4th @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.
As most of you know, we use various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach.
It's really been working for us!
One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
But the scan doesn't just end there.
We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market...
What started out as a bearish reversal in the dollar-yen is beginning to look more like a bullish continuation pattern.
Buying the Japanese yen will produce absolute gangbuster returns – at some point.
But the market’s simply not there yet…
For starters, Japanese stocks are hitting new all-time highs. These new highs support bullish USD/JPY positioning – long dollar, short yen.
Here’s an overlay chart of the Nikkei 225 Index and the dollar-yen pair, highlighting their positive correlation over longer time frames:
The USD/JPY tends to peak and trough in tandem with the Nikkei.
We can apply the same logic to global equities, as a dollar-yen rally characterizes a true risk-on environment much like the one we’re experiencing now.
So if the Japanese stocks are taking out their December 1989 highs, why can’t the dollar-yen do the same?
It’s awfully close to its comparable 1990 high of...
I see something in the charts, or read something in the news, or listen to something on spaces and it triggers me into taking action.
Sometimes I’ll take aggressive actions because this idea I have – wherever it came from – is something I feel strongly about. I feel that the odds are heavily stacked in my favor. Or perhaps the payoff, if I’m right, can be so overwhelmingly profitable that it’s impossible to ignore.
We all have these feels about certain trades we’re in from time to time, right?
We get excited. We get optimistic. We start counting our winnings before they’ve even hit our account. It becomes impossible not to daydream.
For a healthy and sustainable bull cycle to take place, we eventually need these laggards to participate.
For the 2021 and 2022 bear, speculative growth was the poster child.
We’re talking about biotech, the ARK funds, the IPO index, online retailers, etc. These groups were absolutely decimated.
Not only did they experience some of the worst bear market drawdowns, but in 2023, when new leaders emerged, and many areas of the market began to move higher, these laggards continued to struggle.
Fast forward to today, and these groups are still repairing the technical damage from the prior cycle. With that said, the seeds have been planted for some epic bearish-to-bullish trend reversals.