Bulls remain in full control of the crypto tape, with Bitcoin retesting all-time highs. But as journalists talk of all-time highs, we're remaining mindful that this is a logical place for Bitcoin to consolidate its gains. The question that remains is how Bitcoin resolves from this significant level of supply, and looking further, how rotation impacts the speculative end.
US Treasuries are taking a back seat to risk assets.
Bond market volatility is declining. Credit spreads are tightening. And Emerging Market high-yield bonds ($EMHY) are breaking out.
Meanwhile, stocks are posting new all-time highs.
So, how high will interest rates climb over the near term?
My gut tells me not far — at least not in the coming weeks or months…
Check out the US benchmark rate finding resistance at approximately 4.33:
Last month’s high marks a logical ceiling for the US benchmark rate.
Those former highs coincide with a key retracement level based on the run-up into the October 2023 peak. Plus, the 10-year yield paused at the same level for almost a month during last year's rally. That’s not a coincidence.
If the US 10-year breaks above 4.33, volatility will hit...
These days, it’s all about cattle futures, orange juice, or cocoa hitting an all-time high.
I’m sure everyone down at the NYMEX or the folks over at the CBOT in Chicago are having a ball. But what about the stock traders trying to get a piece of the action?
Sure, the energy trade is starting to work again. But gold has been a range-bound mess since the summer of 2020. And gold mining stocks have been an absolute dumpster fire.
It just doesn’t make sense amid a commodity bull run…
Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.
We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut.
These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.
It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.
The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.
We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.
Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.
Today's trade is in one of those names that has already benefited from the recent surge in stocks and crypto prices and is likely to continue thriving if this brewing mania is here to stay for a while longer.
What happened to those everyday commodity contracts the average investor follows?
I’m talking about crude oil, gold, and copper.
These days, it’s all about cattle futures, orange juice, or cocoa hitting an all-time high.
I’m sure everyone down at the NYMEX or the folks over at the CBOT in Chicago are having a ball. But what about the stock traders trying to get a piece of the action?
Sure, the energy trade is starting to work again. But gold has been a range-bound mess since the summer of 2020. And gold mining stocks have been an absolute dumpster fire.
It just doesn’t make sense amid a commodity bull run…
No, the absence of gold and copper breakouts doesn’t make much sense, and neither does crude oil underperforming gold as interest rates rise:
But black gold’s lack of relative strength speaks more to the range-bound nature of precious metals than crude oil weakness.
In fact, Gold is retesting its 2020 high for the fourth time in just under four years.
Will it finally break out?
I don’t know. But an upside resolution in gold futures will likely...