This is the video recording of the March 2024 Mid-month Conference Call.

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended March 15, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Investors are finally waking up to gold.

Friends and family are blowing up my phone (and this time, it’s not just about baby pics). They’ve noticed gold’s rally to new highs – and they want to know whether to buy physical gold or an ETF — bars or coins. 

But silver has yet to enter the conversation…

On today's Flow Show, me and Steve Strazza put our heads together to follow the wave into the Steel sector.

Sector trends are showing us where capital is flowing and that led us to a trade idea in steel manufacturing company Reliance Inc $RS.

Here's the chart highlighting a high consolidation that often portends to rapid near term price acceleration:

For those of us who are comfortable with risking higher dollar amounts in trades, I'd be a straight buyer of the September 350 calls.

But I prefer keeping my costs a little lower per unit of risk, so I'll be employing a call spread here to express our bullish opinion.

Here's the Play:

In today's Daily Digest, we'll review:

1. New position in IWM -- Russell 2000
2. No adjustments are needed today.
3. Profitable exit in XLP.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let's dig in!

Here is the link to this week's crypto recording. This is a chance for us to zoom out, put the noise aside, and discuss the most important charts in the world of crypto.
 

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Investors are finally waking up to gold.

Friends and family are blowing up my phone (and this time, it’s not just about baby pics). They’ve noticed gold’s rally to new highs – and they want to know whether to buy physical gold or an ETF — bars or coins. 

But silver has yet to enter the conversation…

I get it. New all-time highs have a way of capturing the investor’s collective conscience. 

But while gold is printing new all-time highs, silver futures post a mere multi-month high. 

I’m no fan of the catch-up trade, as I always want to own the strongest name(s), but check out silver’s four-decade base:

What a monster!

Silver reached its peak in early 1980 at roughly 41.50. The bulls didn’t see that level again until the spring of 2011 when price ran just shy of 50.

Spring is ahead today, and the soft, shiny metal is trading at approximately 25. That means it would have to double before hitting a new all-time high. 

I’m not waiting around for silver to complete this half-century base.

Here’s how I want to play it…

A significant...

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes via Form 4 filings by Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V.

The Mexico-based investment company reported a $14 million purchase of Talos Energy Inc $TALO shares.

Over the weekend I found myself having to remind someone that the U.S. Bond Market is crashing.

I know many of us have just grown accustomed to the bond market crashing all year, every year.

But this isn't just something to dismiss, like many investors have apparently found themselves doing.

This is the biggest bond market crash in our lifetimes.

In last week’s letter, we outlined the various downside risks we were monitoring. Namely, with Bitcoin retesting the 2021 highs and profit-taking occurring on-chain, we pointed to a number of developments that could’ve prompted a more defensive posture. As such, we've seen sellers become dominant once-again, with Bitcoin and many altcoins falling below our risk levels this weekend.

Crypto markets are trading at a rather significant inflection point; they need to hold here, else we're in for a period of consolidation.

Are you prepared for a market environment where Commodities are ripping higher and stocks continue to struggle?

Don't worry, most people are not.

In fact, so few people are prepared for this line to go up, and so much pain will be felt by so many (investors or otherwise), that this is exactly the outcome I'm betting on.

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.