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All Star Charts Gold Rush

Silver Tarnishes Gold’s New All-Time Highs

March 25, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Pop the champagne!

Gold reached new all-time highs. 

Now, whether we consider the shiny yellow rock a viable investment is another story.

You know I’m bullish…  

Yet I can’t overlook silver’s lack of participation.

I think of silver as gold’s rambunctious cousin — lots of fun until someone gets hurt — and someone always gets hurt!

Perhaps trading silver isn’t your cup of tea. I don’t blame you.

But silver rallies possess an infectious exuberance. Its rowdy antics and monstrous daily ranges magnetize investors as they attempt to skirt silver’s flame without burning to a crisp. 

Unfortunately, silver isn’t bringing the heat. It has yet to break out, and the silver-to-gold ratio is trending lower.

A similar scenario unfolded last spring when gold ran up against its former all-time highs:

 

The result: 10 more months of sideways chop.

Despite a likely pullback, gold futures and the Gold Shares ETF $GLD remain buys if they trade above last month’s breakout levels (2,100 and 193, respectively).

But gold will take the scenic route until...

US Dollar: Turn Down For What?

March 25, 2024

That was the highest weekly close for the US Dollar Index since early November.

The trend has been higher for the US Dollar throughout the entire 1st quarter of 2024.

Remember, the Dollar bottomed towards the end of December in 2023.

So how much higher can the Dollar go?

LILA Directors Report $7 Million of Combined Purchases

March 25, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in Form 4 filings by the chairman of the board and one director of Liberty Latin America Ltd $LILA.

The two board members made purchases of LILA shares for a combined amount of $7 million.

$100,000 Bitcoin Next

March 25, 2024

What we're seeing happening in Bitcoin right now is demand trying to absorb the overwhelming amount of supply that there is up at these prices.

We know from prior attempts a couple of years ago that just below 70,000, there is more selling pressure than buying pressure.

It's just math, there has been more supply than demand at these prices.

Here's what Bitcoin looks like over time:

All Star Charts Crypto

Bull Market Consolidations

March 24, 2024

Last week, we discussed the high likelihood that crypto markets undergo a period of consolidation. With Bitcoin testing resistance at the former all-time highs, the longer-term technical view would seem to suggest that this is a logical area to see this consolidation take place.

To Squeeze or To Be Squeezed

March 23, 2024

There is a time and a place for everything in this market.

One of the more fascinating groups of stocks for me right now (and always for that matter) is when a stock has a very high short interest, and is making new highs.

You see, here's what many people fail to remember:

Short sellers are promising to be buyers in the future. Shareholders are only promising to be sellers.

And so what that means to us is that the more short sellers there are in a given stock, the more investors there are promising to buy the stock in the future.

In their view, they would ideally like to buy these stocks back at lower prices (for a profit).

But what happens instead, in many cases, is that they are forced to cover at much higher prices (for massive losses).

And that's where we...

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Soybeans Look Ripe For a Rally

March 22, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Commodities are in the early innings of a secular bull run.

The list of raw materials hitting all-time highs since 2020 includes Gold, Copper, Wheat, Soybean Oil, Cattle,  Orange Juice, Cocoa, Heating Oil, Gasoline, Palm Oil, Lumber, Tin, Rebar, Iron Ore, and Coal. (If that roll call doesn’t scream commodity supercycle, I don’t know what does.) 

It’s an exhaustive list that will only grow in the coming years. Remember, these cycles can last decades. We’re only in year four!

Of course, there are also some laggards amongst the ranks. (ahem, Crude). But don’t lose sight of the bigger picture! 

Even Soybeans are queuing up for new all-time highs…

Check out soybean futures zoomed out to the 1950s:

Prices blasted higher in the mid-70s, tracing the upper bounds of a new trading range that defined prices for the next thirty years.

A similar pattern emerged during the last commodity supercycle in the early to mid-2000s. Soybean futures bottomed in...

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Freshly Squeezed Report

March 22, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

The animal spirits have returned to equity markets near you!

How do we know?

Take a look around...

Biotechs are putting the finishing touches on a massive base, suggesting a new bull market for these stocks is underway.

Speculative growth indexes like the suite of ARK ETFs are completing (or have already completed) trend reversals.

The Renaissance IPO fund is at its highest level since early 2022.

A growing list of emerging markets countries (outside of China) are making new highs.

Cryptocurrencies are mooning every night while we're sleeping.

Participation is broadening to new groups like materials, and funds are flowing back into energy and financials again.

The most-hated and lowest-quality stocks in the market are catching a serious bid.

So, what do we do?

This is the optimal market environment for our Freshly Squeezed universe.

The idea behind this one is to find the stocks that bears are betting against the most and take the opposite side as they squeeze higher.

We've already witnessed a number of powerful short-covering...

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The Hall of Famers (03-22-2024)

March 22, 2024

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps around $3T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Arista Networks and Airbnb.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then, we sort the remaining names by...

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[Options Premium] This Hundred-Dolla-Roll Might Happen Fast

March 22, 2024

Today's trade comes in a wholesale distributor of industrial and construction supplies. Sexy, right?

Ok, maybe not. But the fact that the stock has been in a steady uptrend since November, is making new all-time highs, and has a "hundred-dolla-roll" in its sight certainly makes it very attractive to me.