If you want to understand where commodity prices are headed, look at the yield curve.

Every major commodity bull market has been preceded by a steepening yield curve—every single one.

📈 When the yield curve bottoms and starts steepening, commodities follow.
 

Look at the last cycle:

• The commodity index bottomed when the yield curve hit its lowest point.
• When the yield curve flipped positive for the first time since 2022, commodities started trending higher.

It’s not magic—it’s liquidity and capital flows. When short-term rates fall relative to long-term rates, the market starts pricing in higher growth and inflation expectations, and commodities are the first to respond.

This is exactly why we’re positioned the way we are. Commodities don’t move in isolation—...

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then, we...

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.

However, when it comes to this one, it couldn't be any simpler!

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.

Welcome to The Junior Hall of Famers.

This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if price is rising. That's good enough for us.

The bottom line is it is a bull market. We...

When it comes to Canada, it's not about tariffs or political headlines making the rounds these days.

The real focus is the Canadian Dollar.

With nearly a 10% weighting in the Dollar Index $DXY, CAD is a crucial piece of the broader currency puzzle.

CAD/USD is pressing against a decade-long support zone, hovering around a key level that triggered strong reversals in 2016 and 2020.

What makes this even more significant is CAD’s close correlation with commodities—especially oil and metals—due to Canada’s heavy exposure to natural resources.

Just look at how the Canadian Dollar has historically traded alongside Crude Oil over the past years.

They look almost identical.

They say history doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes. If CAD/USD rips higher from here and buyers defend support around 0.68, we can expect energy stocks, metals, and...

From the Desk of Alfonso De Pablos @AlfCharts

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors,...

We've discussed this all year. What's the catalyst to send stocks and other risk assets ripping in the first half of the year?

It's the U.S. Dollar. 

I continue to be impressed with just how resilient stocks have been, despite the Dollar's relentless bid over the past 4-5 months.

And now here we are, with so many people crying all weekend about something they call "tariffs", and they're slamming the Dollar.

It's all happening right at the 61.8% retracement of the entire '22-'23 decline. Do you think that's a coincidence?

I do not.

When it comes to the stock market, we always like to do a sum-of-the-parts analysis, whether it's the S&P500, or Dow Industrials or NYSE components. We call it market breadth.

We go through the exact same process in forex markets.

If you think that the US Dollar is going to fall, sending stocks and other risk assets souring, then you'll need to see a bid in other forex markets.

We can go one by one if you want. But I brought 2 important ones with me that I think are about to rip, confirming the US Dollar weakness.

Here's the Canadian Dollar breaking below former support, and...

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

...

Last week, we discussed gold closing at its highest price in years relative to the broader commodities complex.

We don't anticipate this will change anytime soon. 

We think the breadth of the precious metals market is about to change. So far, gold and silver have been the only ones to participate.

But what about platinum and palladium? Will they ever catch up?

We think the answer to that question is a resounding yes, and here's why.

Futures are down this morning, but barely.

Bonds have been flat for most of the overnight session. So has Gold.

If this was real volatility, you would actually see the volatility. Currently, we are not.

I've spent the weekend preparing for tonight's LIVE Monthly Charts Strategy Session.

I've analyzed thousands of companies, indexes and intermarket relationships all over the world.

Here's the conclusion.

Wait for it....

This is a bull market.

And Tariffs or no Tariffs, as investors, I believe that it's still business as usual as long as these uptrends remain in place.

For the S&P500, we're looking at about 5600, or 560 in the $SPY. If we're above that, then the series of higher lows and higher highs is still intact.

For the Nasdaq100 $QQQ that level is right at 500.

For the Dow Jones...

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended January 3, 2025. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers, there’s...

Don't miss the ASC Premium Monthly Candlesticks Strategy Session on Monday, February 3rd, at 8 pm ET! 🚨

👉 Click here to register for the LIVE event.

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.