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Gold Rush: The Best Monthly Candlesticks

September 3, 2024

It's no secret that we're in a bull market for precious metals.

We made the argument for a new secular uptrend for these shiny rocks in last week's Gold Rush video.

Why do we think this is the case?

Gold futures have been printing fresh all-time highs seemingly every day, and precious metals stocks have followed suit with new highs of their own.

When you go back and study the previous cycles you'll notice that every bull market is characterized by more and more stocks making new highs along with the underlying futures contracts.

So let's take a step back and look at some stocks that are making new highs.

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Under The Hood (09-02-2024)

September 2, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended August 30, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases,...

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The Future of Bonds: Intermarket Insights

August 30, 2024

The current market environment is creating a unique opportunity for bonds. 

With the charts signaling strong potential for gains into year-end, now is the moment to take action and add some bond exposure to your portfolio. 

With some big reversals underway, the timing couldn’t be better to capitalize on these new trends. 

Not only are we seeing a growing list of base breakouts for treasuries, corporate bonds, and bond ETFs, but the intermarket landscape is turning increasingly favorable for fixed income in general.

Let’s jump in and discuss why we’re buying bonds here and how we want to express this thesis.

The fed is giving us a clear indication these days that we’ve seen the peak in interest rates for now. The odds of a rate cut at the September meeting in a few weeks are at 67.5%. 

 

Click the table to enlarge the view.

This data is from the CME FedWatch Tool as of August 29, 2024.

In this kind of...

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A Hedge For Our Coffee Addiction

August 30, 2024

If you're like me, you probably spend too much money on coffee every morning.

And that's not likely to change... but that's okay!

We can profit from an upside move in the commodity and hedge our exposure.

We've had tremendous success trading Cocoa futures in the last several years. 

We're also close to buying Cotton futures as they look to trap the bears below a key polarity zone.

There's a trend here: soft commodities keep rewarding us for owning them.

We think Coffee is next.

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Junior International Hall of Famers (08-30-2024)

August 30, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Junior International Hall of Famers.

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

This scan is composed of the next 100 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 100 and are thus covered by the International Hall of Famers universe.

Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original International Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these future big boys are up to.

This is our Junior International Hall of Famers list:

 

Click table to enlarge view

And here’s how we arrived at it…

We removed laggards which are down 5% or more relative to the ACWI Ex. U.S. Index $ACWX over the trailing month.

Then we sorted...

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International Hall of Famers (08-30-2024)

August 30, 2024

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from...

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This REIT Is Ready To Squeeze

August 29, 2024

Investors continue to be rewarded for owning Real Estate stocks.

Over 90% of Real Estate stocks in the S&P 500 are above their 50-day and 200-day moving averages.

Earlier this month, we wrote about the best setups in the Real Estate Sector, and 9 out of the 10 trade ideas have been profitable.

The market's message could not be clearer... buy more real estate!

Because of this, we were extra excited about a new name on our Freshly Squeezed list this week.

Short sellers have piled into Douglas Emmett $DEI, a $2.7B Office REIT company, and we're betting they're about to be forced to unwind their positions, causing an epic squeeze.

Before we get into it, let's talk about what we're doing here.

Our scan is quite simple. It is designed to identify stocks with the most aggressive short positions.

When a stock is shorted, it means incremental buyers are waiting in the wings to close out their bearish bets.

We love this, as new buyers are the one true catalyst for higher prices.

When shorts are proven wrong, they become buyers of the stock. In...

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Berkshire Hits $1 Trillion Valuation

August 29, 2024

I just want to give Warren Buffett a huge shoutout.

Officially, Berkshire Hathaway is now worth over $1 Trillion.

The only companies that are still worth more than Berkshire right now are Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Amazon and Nvidia.

Check out our LIVE Nvidia Earnings Reaction Replay here.

But that's it. Berkshire is officially the 7th largest company at over $1 Trillion in valuation.

Here's how the market-cap of Berkshire has grown over the years.

You can see the 10X return over the past 15 years or so since the Great Financial Crisis.

But why is this?

What's in Berkshire that's so special?

It's a ton of Financials and Industrials.

In fact, Berkshire Hathaway is...

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Finding The Next Nvidia

August 28, 2024

We just saw the most important company in the world drop what is arguably the most important earnings release in market history.

And right after the release, it was a complete nothing burger.

I said it before and I'll say it again. That's the best case scenario for investors. And it paid to sell into the hype.

Here is a LIVE video we put together today discussing the importance of this release, and more importantly talking what we're doing about it!

The answer? We're zigging while everyone else is zagging.

We were coming in selling into the hype. Here was the 14-point expectation that the market was pricing in.

And after the release, it has remained well within that range.

Our main focus has been on finding the NEXT nvidia.

Here is the 2-to-100 Club Special to join us in consistently looking for the next Nvidia every single week.

These are very specifically, the...

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2 to 100 Club (08-28-2024)

August 28, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry...

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Gold Shines Brighter Than Commodities

August 27, 2024

Gold has not only been shining in absolute terms but is also dramatically outperforming the broader commodity complex.

While energy chops around in a multi-year range and cattle carve out a distribution pattern, the glittering ore refuses to quit printing new all-time highs.