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All Star Charts Gold Rush

Best Week Since 2020 For Junior Gold & Silver Miners

September 16, 2024

Last week, Palladium surged nearly 20% after we discussed buying the futures, and Gold reached a new all-time high.

In response, precious metals mining stocks ripped higher for their best week since 2020.

The momentum behind some of these moves is absurd. For example, CDE, GATO, AG, and NGD all rallied over 30% last week.

Let's talk about what we're doing about it:

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There Are Too Many People Here

September 16, 2024

I'm out in Newport Beach, CA for a few days hanging out at an industry conference called Future Proof. 

I don't even know where to start with these guys.

I've had a front row seat to watch my good friend Josh Brown partner up with Barry Ritholtz, hire Michael Batnick and many others along the way, and turn a small advisory into a $5 Billion AUM firm - one of the fastest growing Financial Advisors in the United States.

It was awesome when they were first coming up and putting on conferences. They were big, but still small and intimate in their own ways.

Now they're just way too successful.

That band that was cool when just a few people knew about them has gone mainstream. 

There are way too many people here. It's absolutely insane.

My friends are rockstars. And I couldn't be happier to see all of their success.

I say there are too many people at this conference as a joke. But I'm not even kidding. There were like 20 open bars at happy hour last night and I still couldn't get a drink. 

It was nuts.

And today is actually the first full day.

I've already run into a bunch of old pals, who many in their...

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Under The Hood (09-16-2024)

September 16, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended September 14, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional...

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All Star Charts Gold Rush

The Oranges Are Ripe

September 13, 2024

We've been obnoxiously talking about soft commodities lately.

But, it's for a good reason! And it all comes down to relative strength.

Aside from a few pockets of strength, the trends have been a mess in the broader commodity complex.

Products like Natural gas and precious metals have been hard to ignore if you're involved in the commodities markets.

There's more though. 

Orange Juice futures made a new all-time high this week and look primed to begin a new leg higher.

Let's talk about how we're playing it:

First, some context: 

 

Like Cocoa, Orange Juice futures have gone wild in recent years. OJ has rallied 450% in the last 5-years, while Cocoa rallied nearly as much in half of the time. 

The momentum behind products like Cocoa and...

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International Hall of Famers (09-13-2024)

September 13, 2024

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from...

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Every Sector is in an Uptrend

September 13, 2024

ASC Premium Membership is for people who put money to work on a regular basis.

It’s for people who want steady idea flow through the cycle, bull market or bear.

It’s for people who want to navigate the market every day with the help of a team of professionals.

And it now includes our exclusive 12-week ASC Mastermind Course, where we’ll study the foundation of all our research.

Click here to join us RISK FREE.

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All 11 sectors in the S&...

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Sink or Swim With Junk Bonds

September 13, 2024

When Junk Bond traders jump ship, I’m out of stocks.

With all the talk about credit spreads “blowing out” since early August, this is an important discussion to have right now.

We always trust the bond market. Throughout history, bonds have done an impeccable job at alerting investors about problems in risk asset markets. 

When there is stress in other markets, it shows up in fixed income first.

However, as technical analysts, we are mindful of the math that is behind some of the relationships we study and give weight to.

What if I told you that industrials have been massive underperformers during this bull market? 

The absolute price chart looks incredible. How could that be?

We call it the denominator fallacy. 

Benchmarked against the S&P 500 or Nasdaq 100, of course they are underperforming. 

We think there is a similar situation playing out for our bond market ratios right now.

 

The absolute chart up top looks great. The relative trend, down below, not so much.

...

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People Love Their Pets

September 12, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

People love their pets... but investors seem to hate them. Could it be muscle memory, back to the glory days, when pets.com was one of the best shorts of the dot com? Are these companies just built poorly?  Whatever it is, short sellers love betting against these names. And lately, it seems like it is the whole group. While the short positioning suggests these companies are all bad, the trends tell us the opposite. Let's talk about the positioning in some of these pet stocks and how we can take advantage of it. 

First up is the $1.3B pet health & wellness services provider, Petco $WOOF:

 

We first covered Petco in June, after the retailer had its best 3-day rally in history.

With a 200% run-up in the month of May, the stock earned a few months of digestion, and that is exactly what's played out.

Last week, it rallied over 50% on the heels of earnings, sparking a new short squeeze.

With a 29% short...

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Tech Stocks Are Working

September 12, 2024

I'll be Streaming LIVE TODAY at 4 p.m. ET to talk about what that 20% correction in Semiconductors means for this market, where that money is going next, why markets are usually volatile ahead of November’s election, and what exactly we’re doing to profit from it all.

Click here to join us FREE.

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There are plenty of Technology stocks that are working.

You just have to look.

Our...

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End of the Bull Market

September 11, 2024

That was it?

We can just take our ball and go home now?

The A.I. story has come and gone and the recession that they've been telling us about all these years is finally here?

So this is a major top in Nvidia - ending the whole damn thing?

That's your bet?

 

And this massive top in Microsoft is exactly that - a historic top? One for the record books?

So the largest company on the planet is about to complete this 8 months of institutional distribution and is about to bring down the entire Technology sector?

Keep in mind that Nvidia and Microsoft combine for over 41% of the S&P Technology Index. (Apple is only 5% of Tech now)

Here's what I'm being told is the end for Microsoft...

 

Is that the bet you're making?

This is the end of the bull market?

Because I see Consumer Discretionary as the leading sector over the past month. Look at those returns, all outperforming the major averages by a long shot:

 

And another thing.

You know how we've been pointing out that High Beta has severely underperformed Low Volatility?

Well look at this monster whipsaw.

Keep in mind that...

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2 to 100 Club (09-11-2024)

September 11, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...