So the question becomes: Is this fresh breakout the beginning of the next leg higher for equities?
Or is this market behavior evidence of exhaustion and it's time to get out?
Let me remind you of the "Fab 5" charts from the beginning of 2024 that helped determine whether we were starting a new leg higher this year or if it was time to bail.
The breakouts coming into this year, specifically in Broker Dealers, Technology, Industrials, Homebuilders and Semiconductors were the most important...
It wasn't clear how the price would react to our target, but sure enough, the sellers showed up right on cue.
But the weight of the evidence continues to suggest this bull market has legs and it's better to spend our time looking for buying opportunities, not selling opportunities.
Let's talk about the recent price action and what it means for our portfolios:
Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended November 8, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.
What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.
There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.
Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers, there’...
It's only a bubble if it's going up and they don't own enough of it, or any at all.
They only call things bubbles when they have a hard time understanding why prices are doing what they're doing.
As someone who studies human behavior every single day, I can tell you with a high degree of confidence that 99.9% of people who call things bubbles haven't actually done any of the work required to determine whether something is in a bubble or not.
And that's the key thing here.
There is a huge arbitrage between the people who put in the work, and actually take the time to analyze markets using real data, and those who are too busy doing other things to truly have an honest opinion about whether a particular period of time is, in fact, a bubble.
Bubbles, as those of us with common sense know, are incredibly rare, by definition.
So when someone calls something a bubble, they are almost certainly wrong about that, or in most cases, just making it up because they don't know how else to describe certain market behaviors that they can't wrap their heads around.
Bitcoin, for example, just broke out to new all-time highs...
Curious about how to handle bonds during an inflationary cycle? Wondering which asset classes tend to thrive—and which to avoid—when inflation’s on the rise?
We’ve invited Stephen Weitzel to break it all down. With the election, the Fed meeting, and a constant media buzz, it’s the perfect time to take a step back, focus on the big picture, and understand how the bond market might shape your portfolio.
I hope you enjoy this conversation as much as I did. Talking with Stephen is always a pleasure!
For more on Stephen: https://www.reveillewealth.com/team/stephen-weitzel
Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.
We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut.
These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.
It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.
The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.
We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.
Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.
But what about the other alternative energy equities?
Solar stocks have been amongst the most hated in the entire market, right up there with pot stocks and China.
The Invesco Solar ETF $TAN looks ready to explode higher:
The fund is a market-cap-weighted basket of solar stocks from all around the world.
One of our favorite long-term momentum indicators, the monthly percentage price oscillator (PPO), has been improving for months and is on the verge of triggering a buy signal.
In addition, TAN has carved out a short term reversal pattern. An upside resolution will coincide with a monthly PPO cross, and we want to look for opportunities to buy the best stocks in the industry.
On a relative basis, TAN is at a critical level of interest versus the S&P 500:
This level represents where it began to outperform the broader market in the past.
Adding to our conviction, the 14-week RSI has carved out...
Below is the 8th ASC Mastermind Lab Course. These are special videos that will be made available throughout the duration of the 12-week course featuring conversations with professionals from across Wall Street discussing topics in their expertise.
If you're going to talk about market seasonality, you might as well talk to the master. Jeff Hirsch is the editor and publisher of the Stock Trader's Almanac. His dad, Yale Hirsch, literally created the Almanac and is responsible for bringing the idea of market seasonality to the mainstream.
There is no one that understands market seasonality better than Jeff. I have learned everything that I know on this topic from him. I hope you enjoy our conversation.