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Money Game Podcast: Stocks At New Highs & Bulls At New Lows (EP.11)

November 4, 2019

In this episode of the Money Game Podcast Phil and I talk about the stock market making all-time highs while sentiment points to very few bulls. This is an interesting dynamic where the behavior of the market is pointing to one thing and the behavior and emotions of society are saying something different. I've been in the camp that this negative sentiment unwind is precisely the catalyst to take stocks much higher, not just in the U.S. but around the world. It's very rare to have stocks this strong, yet so few people betting on higher stock prices. It's pretty awesome. We also talk about the deterioration, or at least an end to the expansion we're seeing, in the upside participation in stocks. We're seeing MORE stocks, sectors and global indexes participating to the upside, not fewer. Until that stops, we want to keep looking for stocks to buy.

All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 12: Robert Sluymer, Managing Director at Fundstrat Global Advisors

November 1, 2019

Robert Sluymer has been a Technical Analyst for close to 3 decades. I really enjoy his intermarket, global macro perspective and the way he brings it all together in a similar way to what we do at our shop. It was hard for me to really disagree with anything Rob said during this podcast episode. It seems to me like him and I are on the same page on many levels. I didn't make it easy...

Money Game Podcast: JOMO - Joy Of Missing Out (EP.10)

October 23, 2019

We are back with another episode of The Money Game Podcast with Phil Pearlman. Today we talk about JOMO, the Joy Of Missing Out. Phil brings up a point about the amount of work that goes into today's version of Keeping up with the Joneses: Instagram, for example. People are so concerned with Missing Out (FOMO) that they're completely ignoring the joys of missing out (JOMO). Saying No gives us the ability and the time to stay focused on what is probably more important, whether it's health, family, friends, work or whatever else you're into. We see this in the market constantly, with traders chasing trades and worrying about what trades other people are in and the money other people are making. The beauty of this situation in the market is that we're guaranteed to get another opportunity. The market doesn't give us many (any?) other guarantees. The one thing we do know is that there...

All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 11: Walter Deemer, Technical Analyst With 57 Years Of Experience

October 7, 2019

Walter Deemer has been a Technical Analyst for 57 years, after starting his career at Merrill Lynch working for legendary Technician Bob Farrell. He is a founding member and past president of the CMT Association and coined the phrase, "When the time comes to buy, you won't want to!", which is the title of one of the books he's authored. We're lucky to have someone on the podcast who was in the business at a time when interest...

All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 10: Willie Delwiche, Investment Strategist at Robert W. Baird

September 26, 2019

I've been following the work Willie Delwiche for years. As both a CFA and CMT Charterholder, I think it helps him really put things in perspective for the Advisors he works with at RW Baird. I really enjoyed the conversation we had about the markets and his process. Willie incorporates a number of breadth and sentiment measures that I've always been a fan of. He helps the Investment Advisors at the firm work with their clients and manages several portfolios as well. In this podcast episode we discuss a number of different things...

Money Game Podcast: The Irrational Permabear (EP.9)

September 19, 2019

We are back with another episode of The Money Game Podcast with Phil Pearlman. Today we talk about the inability for some people trade US stocks from the long side due to biases stemming from past experiences. This is a real thing that we see constantly. So we talk about the causes, being aware of these feelings and what can be done to overcome these hurdles. I'm lucky that I've been through enough bull market and bear market cycles to not get stuck into betting on just one side or the other. But some people have a real fear of admitting they're wrong and turning bullish at, what they think might be, precisely the wrong time. Some of this is driven by ego and some is just irrational anxiety. This is a really important conversation and one that I will likely listen to again several times over in the future.

All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 9: Raoul Pal, Founder & CEO of Global Macro Investor & Real Vision Group

September 14, 2019

Raoul Pal is someone whose work I've admired for years, both for his global macro perspective on the markets and the amazing job he and his team have done with Real Vision. I like how they've removed a lot of the conflicts of interest that come with traditional media reporting and the sensationalizing that comes along as a result.

As a Macro Analyst, he does a lot of intermarket, or "cross-asset", analysis. Raoul and I see the world through a similar lens. One area where we differ is in our experiences throughout our careers and how that's shaped our view points and biases. I really enjoyed that part of the conversation. As far as current markets are concerned, Raoul thinks that negative rates in the U.S. are a real...

All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 8: Connie Brown, Author & President/Founder of Aerodynamic Investments

September 6, 2019

Connie Brown is the author of one of the first books I ever read on Technical Analysis. She was the one who inspired me to use Momentum as a supplement to price behavior, particularly the Relative Strength Index (RSI). It was Connie Brown who taught me how to think outside the box and question the default settings on traditional charting software. It's that next level thinking that has helped me grow throughout my career. It is a real treat for me to have her on the podcast and I think she is a great compliment to some of the other guests we've had on over the years. In this conversation we go back to the stock market panics of the 1800s, go over different global indexes and how to use them to make decisions in our own markets. If you're interested in Technical Analysis at all and want to learn how to think about things a little differently, this is the podcast episode for you!

All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 7: Denise Shull, Performance Coach & Founder of The ReThink Group

August 25, 2019

This week we have a special treat on the podcast. Denise Shull is a Performance Coach and founder of The ReThink Group.  She is widely believed to be the inspiration for the character Wendy Rhoades on the Showtime series Billions. We have a lot of different perspectives on the podcast all revolving around the behavior of the market and its participants. In this episode we focus more on the behavior of the participants themselves and why traders do the things they do. Denise shares stories about different clients she has and the ways they overcome things like loss aversion, being too aggressive and not being aggressive enough. We discuss the differences between male and female traders, the advantages women have in this field and reasons why there are so few women on Wall Street. I really enjoyed this conversation because I think it's important to understand that there are real humans on the other side of our trades. Even if they are algos built by humans, the people are still there and it's important to understand their side. One...

All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 6: Todd Sohn, Technical Strategist at Strategas Securities

August 14, 2019

Todd Sohn is one of my favorite guys to talk to about the markets. He often sends me charts that no one else is looking at and points out important data that most people aren't talking about. His unique perspective on the market definitely makes him stand out from the rest. Todd and his team at Strategas do great work and it's a real pleasure to have him on the podcast. In this conversation we discuss the current environment for US Stocks, Interest Rates, Precious Metals and the sentiment driving current trends. He offers good advice for both new technicians and seasoned veterans. If you're at all interested in the market, this is an episode you can't miss. Enjoy!

All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 5: Ari Wald, Head of Technical Analysis at Oppenheimer

August 7, 2019

Ari Wald is always one of my favorite Technical Analysts. Him and I were trained around the same time so we look at the market in a very similar way. Today Ari is the Head of Technical Analysis at Oppenheimer in New York and we're very lucky to have him on the podcast. If you're interested in learning more about Ari, go back and listen to his guest appearance in Season 1 (EP 2). In this episode, Ari and I discuss the current state of the US Stock Market. Included in the analysis are breadth measurements, important levels, smoothing mechanisms and sector rotation. Him and I can talk forever about this stuff so the time felt like it flew by. We covered a ton of material in a very short period of time. I hope you enjoy this one as much as I did!

All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 4: Tony Dwyer, Chief Market Strategist at Canaccord Genuity

August 5, 2019

 

I've been a fan of Tony Dwyer's work for a long time. Those of you who know me see me approach the market from a top/down global macro and intermarket perspective. Tony starts his process in a similar way at Cannacord Genuity and Dwyerstrategy.com. When we're talking about the next direction for stocks, we both focus on other assets like credit to help identify big trends. We look at the behavior of commodity and currency markets to make decisions in equities. I thought this was a really fun conversation. I particularly enjoyed Tony's comparisons to 1995 and what was going on then with respect to the President's public issues, interest rates, precious metals and the US Dollar. This podcast could have gone on forever if we let it, but we kept it short and concise so we could get to the point quickly.