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China Is Like Notre Dame

July 1, 2022

China is an emerging market right? But is it?

While it's the biggest component of the Emerging Markets Index $EEM, is it something larger, maybe more developed?

It doesn't really have a category.

It's like Notre Dame Football.

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The Short Report (06-29-2022)

June 29, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as a market of stocks.

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions… but there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as the Hall of Famers, the Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club. We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports. Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

If This, Then It's 2008 All Over Again

June 29, 2022

You can pretend the bond market doesn't matter all you want.

But I'm here to tell you that this $115 Trillion + market that we call "bonds" is what's moving things around here.

It starts with credit.

If there is stress in credit, then you're going to see the implications across markets.

Buffett's Berkshire Buys More OXY

June 28, 2022

The largest insider buy on today’s list is yet another Form 4 filing by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.A.

Buffett just revealed an additional purchase in Occidental Petroleum $OXY, as he continues to build his position in the energy stock.

Running On 'Auto' Mode 2.0

June 28, 2022

Is the market out of the woods yet? No.

Is there a change in trend with the most recent bounce bank in the indices? No.

Are some areas of the market doing better than others? Yes.

Are we here to discuss one such sector today? You bet we are!

We've been pounding the table about the strength that we've been noticing in the Auto space for over a month now. With that trend becoming more and more clear, we have a few more names joining the leaders. The Auto sector is exhibiting strengths that cannot and should not be ignored. Read on to know more!

First up, let's take a look at the index chart and focus on the levels here. 10,400 has acted as a crucial zone of support during the past five months of whipsaw moves in the market. The index continued to hold on to these levels even as other sectors were giving up on their floors without a fight. That was our first sign of relative strength.

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Follow the Flow (06-27-2022)

June 27, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow. In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

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Under the Hood (06-27-2022)

June 27, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to our latest Under the Hood column, where we'll cover all the action for the week ended June 24, 2022. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with our Minor Leaguers column.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Healthcare As A Leadership Group

June 27, 2022

Last week the US Healthcare Sector hit new multi-year highs relative to the S&P500.

The Relative Strength has already been there under the surface.

And when you look at Healthcare on an absolute basis you can see the sideways digestion of prior gains during a period where most stocks and indexes were falling:

Discover Financial's Bearish Options Flow Stands Out

June 27, 2022

The largest insider transaction on today’s list is a Form 4 filing by Nimish P. Shah, who reported a purchase of roughly $5.1 million of Tricida $TCDA.

Thomas Meth, the president of Enviva $EVA, reported a purchase of 8,600 shares, equivalent to $505,508 worth of stock.