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[Premium] Trade Of The Week

July 19, 2022

The Auto sector has been the flavor of the season. And by the looks of it, the season isn't over yet! We're here today to discuss another popular stock from this sector.

Apple Hits New All-time Highs Relative To S&P

July 19, 2022

Shares of Apple stock just went out at the highest levels in history relative to the S&P500.

This is what we refer to as "Relative Strength".

Apple had originally peaked relative to the market almost 2 years ago towards the end of the summer of 2020.

That's when the Apple's underperformance first began.

And now here we are making new all-time highs once again:

OXY Is All Over This Hot List

July 19, 2022

Warren Buffett filed his latest Form 4 yesterday, as Berkshire Hathaway $BRK continues to accumulate shares of Occidental Petroleum $OXY.

The additional 1.94 million shares leaves him with an ownership percentage just shy of 20%.

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[Premium] Mid-Month Conference Call Video Recording July 2022

July 19, 2022

This is the video recording of the July 2022 Mid-month Conference Call.

We discussed:

  • 34 Straight Weeks Of More New Lows Than New Highs
  • Strong Negative Correlation between Stocks & Dollars
  • DJIA & DJTA holding short-term support so far
  • S&P500 Remains Below overhead supply
  • Small-caps & Financials testing significant support levels
  • Europe's STOXX 600 back to 2000/2007 highs
  • Apple hits new All-time Relative Highs
  • US 10yr & 30yr Yields run into 2018 highs
  • Breakevens & EW Commodities peaked months ago before Yields
  • Still no expansion in the new 20 day highs or 63 highs lists
  • Commercial Hedgers remain historically long Crude Oil
  • Gold, Silver & Gold Miners break down to new 52-week lows
  • 10yr Minus 3-mo Yield Curve breaks down to follow 2s-10s
  • Bitcoin & Ethereum hold above former cycle peaks
  • New Trade Ideas: Both Long & Short

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Follow the Flow (07-18-2022)

July 18, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow. In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

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The Minor Leaguers (07-18-2022)

July 18, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to our latest Minor Leaguers report.

We’ve had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

Avantor, Etsy See Bullish Options Flow

July 18, 2022

Director David S. Taylor of Delta Air Lines $DAL revealed a purchase of 10,000 shares in the airline company, valued at just under $300,000.

Meritage Group LP filed a 13G revealing an ownership stake of 5.70% in the cloud-based business management platform Coupa Software $COUP.

Do You See What Happens?

July 18, 2022

Do you see what happens when the US Dollar is falling?

Stocks and Crypto go up.

This IS the catalyst.

Do you want to know what will get stocks and crypto back into bull markets?

It's not the fed, it's not the president, it certainly isn't a former president, it isn't a war or any kind of "news" event.

It's the US Dollar. Period.

Chart of the Day: Punks Doubled

July 17, 2022

Over the weekend we saw the price of Ethereum jump to new 30 day highs.

Looking a little deeper, you'll find that both Binance and Avalanche also hit new 30 day highs.

Some of you trade cryptos and others don't. But that's not really my point here.

As you've heard me say a million times by now, these crypto assets are just growth stocks (probably software stocks if you want to be more specific).

And the correlations prove it. They've never been higher, in fact.

34 Weeks of More New Lows

July 17, 2022

In bull markets you'll see a lot more stocks making new highs than new lows.

In the current market environment we're used to seeing the opposite.

Here's an update on how that's going. For those of you keeping track at home, we're now going on 34 consecutive weeks of more stocks making new lows than new highs:

Chart of the Day: Thrust Hunting Season

July 16, 2022

If you've been following along over the years, you've heard me mention plenty of times that breadth thrusts tend to cluster together early on in market uptrends.

Well, a funny thing happened yesterday - we had our first 9-to-1 up volume day on the NYSE since May.

To quote Willie, "Stringing 2 of these together without an intervening 9-to-1 down day would be a very positive development".

Here's what that looks like: