But what about the other alternative energy equities?
Solar stocks have been amongst the most hated in the entire market, right up there with pot stocks and China.
The Invesco Solar ETF $TAN looks ready to explode higher:
The fund is a market-cap-weighted basket of solar stocks from all around the world.
One of our favorite long-term momentum indicators, the monthly percentage price oscillator (PPO), has been improving for months and is on the verge of triggering a buy signal.
In addition, TAN has carved out a short term reversal pattern. An upside resolution will coincide with a monthly PPO cross, and we want to look for opportunities to buy the best stocks in the industry.
On a relative basis, TAN is at a critical level of interest versus the S&P 500:
This level represents where it began to outperform the broader market in the past.
Adding to our conviction, the 14-week RSI has carved out...
November marks the beginning of the best three-month period of the year for stocks and a brand-new NBA season. Moreover, the sportsbooks have priced in my local OKC Thunder as the Western Conference champions.
It's a fantastic time to be alive.
Now is also a great time to take a step back and assess the underlying trends.
Earlier this year, we outlined our Fab 5 Charts for a 2024 equity bull market.
One of the five key groups we selected was homebuilders, which have been on an absolute tear:
Homebuilders have experienced tremendous markup phases this cycle, nearly doubling in many instances. The visual above shows the SPDR Homebuilders ETF $XHB components sorted by proximity to the 52-week low (the y axis) and 52-week high (the x axis). The 14-day RSI is the size of each bubble.
The homies have been one of the hottest groups of stocks...
Welcome to TheJunior International Hall of Famers.
With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.
This scan is composed of the next 100 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 100 and are thus covered by the International Hall of Famers universe.
Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original International Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these future big boys are up to.
This is our Junior International Hall of Famers list:
Click table to enlarge view
And here’s how we arrived at it…
We removed laggards which are down 5% or more relative to the ACWI Ex. U.S. Index $ACWX over the trailing...
The market keeps rewarding investors for buying some of Wall Street's most hated stocks.
We're getting buy signals from biotechnology and crypto stocks, which tends to happen in healthy market environments.
With this in mind, we're going back to the well and buying a biotech stock with nearly 1/3 of the float sold short and a double-digit days-to-cover ratio.
The stock we're buying is named after what was once an important ancient trade center in modern-day Turkey.
Let's talk about how we're playing this short squeeze:
Each year, Americans buy over 600 million pounds of candy and eat over 1 pound each for Halloween.
It's a lot...
But are there opportunities to profit from Americans ritualistically eating way too much candy? You betcha!
Let's talk about it.
After a historic 190% run earlier this year, cocoa futures have formed a textbook consolidation pattern:
In addition, chocolate bears have failed to register an oversold reading as the bulls have maintained control during this consolidation phase.
We like owning cocoa futures above 6,900, with a target of 11,700 over the coming 2-4 months.
Sugar futures look poised to retest last year's high:
After rallying 20% in a single week last month, the sweet commodity has formed a sweet bullish continuation pattern. If and when this pattern is resolved, we want to own sugar futures in anticipation of a fresh leg higher.
In addition to the chart pattern, the bulls registered a 14-day RSI reading above 80 during the last leg higher, as they were in...
Check out the recent performance from uranium stocks:
Each bubble's location is determined by its 10-day change on the x-axis, the trailing 3-month return on the y-axis, and the 14-day RSI is the size.
LEU, OKLO, and SMR are the stocks that stand out the most amongst their peers. Each of these 3 leaders is involved with nuclear energy for the AI boom.
The VanEck Uranium Energy ETF $NLR is decisively resolving a multi-decade base:
This fund holds large positions in the largest uranium stocks like Constellation Energy $CEG, Cameco $CCJ, and BWX Technologies $BWXT.
The breakout to new multi-decade highs is happening as breadth in the industry is expanding.
The GlobalX Uranium ETF $URA has a large Cameco...
We all know how dreadful it can be to get through airport security.
Clear Secure is trying to be the remedy by using biometric data to provide identity verification and expedite security at airports and other venues.
Last quarter, the stock rallied over 20% following its earnings report and has nearly doubled since.
Despite the stock's strong performance and highest price since 2021, the bears are still betting against it. The amount of shares held short is near its highest level in history.
It has been two-years since the S&P 500 bottomed in October 2022 and stocks began a new bull market.
During this time, many sectors and industry groups have enjoyed tremendous uptrends while materials stocks have gone sideways.
But materials stocks are starting to look interesting...
The SPDR Materials Sector ETF $XLB is making new all-time highs:
As you can see, the prior cycle high coincides with a major Fibonacci extension level going back to the Great Financial Crisis, which adds to the significance of this breakout.
This market-capitalization weighted fund has a large exposure to Linde $LIN amongst several other bellwether materials stocks.
We want to be long XLB if it's above 93, with a target of 139.
The Materials Sector holds a lot of the same stocks as the S&P Chemicals Index:
The S&P Chemicals Index is consolidating below a major Fibonacci extension level going back to the Great Financial Crisis and we're betting it will breakout to new all-time highs like XLB.
If CEX is above 985, the path of least resistance is higher toward 1,500.
The market keeps squeezing short sellers out of their biotech positions and rewarding bulls with big breakouts.
Knowing this, our strategy is simple. We want to keep buying the best-looking and most heavily-shorted biotech stocks.
Today, we're covering one that has rallied nearly 200% since late last year. Despite this extreme upside momentum, the stock still has a massive short interest.
With the stock resolving a multi-year accumulation pattern, we think this short squeeze has plenty of room to run. To get back to the all-time highs from just a few years ago, it would require about a 10x.
We're looking for something much smaller and quicker for now, but you never know!
Let's talk about how we're trading our latest Freshly Squeezed setup.
Last week, we discussed China and Gold futures as potential catalysts for resolving a multi-decade basing pattern in Dr. Copper.
If we're in an environment where Copper futures are printing fresh all-time highs, then we should spend some time identifying opportunities in the equities market that benefit from rising base and industrial metal prices globally.
Over the last 6-months, the Steel $SLX, Copper $COPX, and Metals and Mining $XME ETFs have underperformed the S&P 500:
However, the weekly RRG is hinting at a potential rotation back into these stocks during this final quarter of 2024. All 3 of these ETFs are pointing higher and rotating out of the lagging quadrant and into the improving and leading quadrants.