I know what you're thinking? A bearish play? In this market?
Believe it or not, there are some weak sectors out there, and there's a stock we're bearish on that may have just exhausted itself in a last-gasp dead-cat bounce which may be soon reverse and resume its downward trend.
Believe it or not, there isn't a bull market EVERYwhere. Of course, if you give yourself a steady diet of SHOUT!TV! then this is not a surprise to you because everything is bearish (on TV).
As we begin the last leg of 2019 into the holidays, trading often gets a little uneventful (last year being a MAJOR exception). Feels to me a great time to be putting some delta-neutral income trades on.
I'm not saying I'm bullish on Disney because my family recently signed up to send them money every month for Disney+, but it certainly has me thinking about the tremendous new source of cashflow to be streaming into their coffers. That's got to be bullish, right?
Of course, at All Star Charts, all we ever follow around here is price so none of the above really matters, it just makes a nice story. But lo and behold, the $DIS chart sure is setting up for a continuation of what already is a pretty significant run:
As November draws to a close, it's time to review positions with December options that remain open (haven't already hit profit targets or been stopped out).
Most trades I put on for All Star Options tend to have a minimum duration of 30 days (short premium plays) and often as long as 6-8 months (for long premium plays). As options approach expiration, greeks like theta and gamma start to become my enemy and whipsaw my P/L. Therefore, as options and spreads get into the expiration month, my best practice is to put each position on notice -- it's time to take action.
It's been an epic trip to India and Japan for the All Star Charts team, so sorry for the decreased frequency of trade ideas during the past week. We're on a plane now headed back to the U.S. and JC and I were chatting between in-flight meals (10 hour flight from Tokyo!) about some opportunities we're seeing out our windows from 30,000 feet over the Pacific Ocean.
One such area that has our attention is the US Healthcare Providers space. Earlier in the week, our boy Bruni published a piece featuring a bunch of stocks to watch here.
The one stock that most caught my eye was one setting up for a hundred-dollar-roll and all-time highs.
There might not be a bull market everywhere. It seems interest rates are taking a breather here and deciding their next move. And while they consolidate, options markets are currently pricing in some elevated premiums that are pretty tempting to sell if you're a believer in options volatility mean reversion (I am!).