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All Star Options

[Options Premium] Sell the "Worry."

October 4, 2021

If one were to simply observe the daily charts for $SPY or $QQQ while listening to the teevee, one would easily conclude the sky is falling. And that would be an easy conclusion to come to.

But when we take a step back from the noise and look elsewhere, the details under the hood are suggesting a different story. And that is giving me some confidence to fade the hysteria here.

[Options] Premium Utility

September 29, 2021

If you like action, then you've enjoyed this week so far.

The markets looked ho-hum for most of the day Monday. But then the last hour offered us a harbinger of things to come. And Tuesday's gap and crap confirmed the bulls' worst fears.

But as usual, bears might have gotten a bit ahead of themselves as today's action seems to suggest.

Either way, the indecision and confusion in the markets is resulting in elevated options premiums -- which is what we can expect. As options players, this puts us in the position of wanting to look for opportunities to take the other side of this fear by getting short these elevated premiums.

Scanning my list of my liquid ETFs, I've found a great candidate to sell premium in.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Lean into It

September 27, 2021

Is risk back on?

The price action in the broader stock market during the second half of last week and continuing into this morning suggests this is a strong possibility. Meanwhile, the action in the dollar and metals space offers a sneaky way to play this shift.

Sometimes, we play 3D chess to look for opportunities in one place when everyone else is distracted by the headline-grabbing moves.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Making Money By Hand

September 24, 2021

The ASC team did their monthly conference call this week, where they rip though a million charts and highlight the things we need to pay attention to -- the trends, the divergences, and particular setups in stocks that we like.

The blizzard of information they throw at us can be overwhelming at times. This is why you come to me to cull through it all and find my favorite setups that can be played with options.

Today's pick comes out of that call and its focused on the small business side of things.

[Video] Options Trade of the Week w/ Sean & Strazza | Neutral Russel 2000 $IWM

September 22, 2021

On September 22nd, Sean and Strazza hopped on a Twitter Live Stream to discuss a recent trade idea for All Star Charts Options Members.

Here's the play:

"I like an $IWM November 200/205/235/240 Iron Condor for an approximately $1.80 credit. This means I’ll be short the 205 puts and 235 calls, while protected by the 200 puts and the 240 calls. This is a defined risk trade where the most I can lose is the maximum possible value of the spread (distance between short and long strikes — $5.00) minus the credit we receive at initiation ($1.80) which equals $3.20."

To learn more about the trade and the thinking behind it, click below to watch a replay of the Live Stream.

[Options] Fading Index Volatility

September 22, 2021

With volatility rising this week, I've been on the hunt for opportunities to "safely" sell some premium.

While there is no such thing as a sure bet in the markets, selling elevated premium in rangebound securities is one of the closest things we will find to that idea.

I was chatting with my partner Steve Strazza this morning and when I told him what I was looking for, he immediately responded: "Oh -- you want $IWM. That is the very definition of sideways action."

Sure enough, he's right. And upon closer inspection of the options chains, there is some good premium offered for sale if we're willing to go a little further out in time.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Changing Plans

September 20, 2021

The game plan in the markets over the past several quarters has been to buy the dip whenever the S&P 500 approached its 50-day moving average of prices.

So naturally, I spent the weekend thinking about some long trades that I wanted to put on today -- thinking the same old game plan was likely to continue.

Then I woke up to S&P Futures showing the largest gap down opening we've seen in a while and $SPY indicated to open significantly below its 50-day moving average for the first time in seemingly forever.

In other words, the market was telling me to rethink my bullish ideas.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] AI Support for Semis

September 17, 2021

Another 20 year base breakout? This is the second one we're putting a trade on in this week! Maybe the market is trying to tell us something?

I have to be honest, when I first pulled this ticker up, I thought it was a Men's suits maker. But when I learned it's involved in the intersection of Artificial Intelligence and Semiconductors, the sex-factor went up for me.

Let's get right to it...

[Video] Options Trade of the Week w/ Sean & Strazza | Long $CSCO January $70 Calls

September 16, 2021

On September 15th, Sean and Strazza hopped on a Twitter Live Stream to discuss a recent trade idea for All Star Charts Options Members.

Here's the play:

"We’re buying $CSCO January 70 calls for approximately 23 cents. These options are priced as a long shot and we’ll be treating it as such. I’m fully prepared to lose 100% of my capital on this trade if $CSCO doesn’t make the move we need. So I’ll be sizing my position accordingly.

But if it goes our way, we should get plenty of opportunity to take our original risk off the table along the way. My best practice is to sell half of my position when the value of the options have doubled. And I will do that in this case. Then I’ll hold the rest, looking for the big move.

If $CSCO gets to our 74 price target, those 70 strike calls will be worth at least $4.00 — probably more, depending on when that price is reached. $4.00 per contract would be 20x what we originally paid. YAHTZEE!"

[Options] Going After a 20-Bagger

September 15, 2021

This is not something we do often -- usually because these types of opportunities don't present themselves frequently. But we've identified an under-appreciated potential for a 20x gain on our invested capital if the markets cooperate.

Its the perfect storm of a megacap stock emerging from an long base, options flow showing people are starting to position for "something" and an ASC price target that doesn't appear to be priced in by the crowd.

Of course, part of the reason for the elevated options activity is due to an "Investor Day" event happening today, but the action still has been raising some attention.