Big cap tech has gotten all the attention in this current bull market rally, and deservedly so. There have been some truly massive gains there.
But as we know from history, the lifeblood of sustained bull markets is sector rotation. And we're seeing smaller caps begin to play catch up to their big brothers.
Today's trade is in a software name that has quietly been rallying since getting wrecked after a disappointing earnings report last November.
But with a bullish reversal pattern off those November lows, we feel the time is right for this quiet rally to get loud.
All Star Charts is excited to announce a thrilling collaboration with the Chartered Market Technicians Association and Centerpoint Securities. Together, we aim to discover the finest trading talents in Southeast Asia.
In the company of my esteemed All Star Charts partner, Steve Strazza, I am thrilled to embark on a remarkable journey spanning eight cities across seven countries over the course of 21 exhilarating days this July.
During our travels, Steve and I will have the privilege of sharing the stage with numerous local experts. Together, we will deliver captivating presentations on the art of technical analysis and delve into the intricate realm of the trader mindset. These enlightening sessions will take place in a diverse range of venues, providing a unique opportunity to explore the fascinating world of domestic stock and futures markets through the lenses of traders from various backgrounds and perspectives. Needless to say, we cannot contain our enthusiasm for this incredible experience!
That company is still a thing? I thought the iPhone killed it? ~ JC during The Morning Show on 6/15/23
Yep. Today's trade is a play on a stock in a company we were all kind of surprised still exists, and even more surprising that is doing well!
Upon further digging, we learned the company has handled the pivot away from online maps for car drivers into things like GPS for boats, golfers, and wearables!
We may have stumbled upon an underpriced opportunity, one that must be off the radar of most traders because it's practically jumping off the screen at us.
It's an international banking name with speculative exposure to China, yet the DNA of old-money British aristocrats.
And we're breaking out today!
Here's a recent chart of HSBC Holdings PLC $HSBC:
What you don't see on this chart is $HSBC breaking out above that resistance level today. As I type this, the stock traded as high as $39.14.
Congratulations to the 2023 NBA Champion Denver Nuggets!
I’m a total bandwagoner, having never watched a Nuggets game in the eleven years I’ve now lived in Colorado. My first Nuggets watch was the first playoff game this year. And I watched every game the rest of the way.
My timing was pretty good.
What has stood out the most to me in the interviews and press I saw and read last night and this morning following the Nuggets win is how their journey to the top required tremendous patience and a focus on their edge.
And more patience. More sharpening of the edge. And then a little more of both after that.
The Nuggets organization knew they were building a winner. But it would take time. Time for the stars to develop. Time for injuries to heal. Time for missing pieces to be added. And time for the stars to align.
We've been talking a lot lately about the number of stocks setting up to play "catch-up" to this bull market that is only just now starting to get the attention it deserves, in spite of it being nearly 8 months old now, by our measures.
Today's trade is in another one of these setups that continue to work for us ($CAT and $IWM are great, recent examples).
I have a feeling there will be a large segment of the trader population that hates this trade. And that is precisely why I think it has a good chance of working.
It's Friday. It's late in the day. I won't waste your time with a long preamble. Let's get right to it.
There was an inbound question to me this week regarding adjustments I make on short strangle trades.
For reference: A Short Strangle is a delta-neutral options position that consists of selling equal amounts of out-of-the-money naked puts and calls for a net credit. If everything goes according to plan, the underlying stays in a trading range and I can realize a profit buying back the short options for cheaper than I sold them.
Of course, it doesn’t always work out that simply. Many times, we need to play defense. Defense often involves rolling short options further away from the current price action. In practice, this means buying to close the existing short option and selling a further out-of-the-money option (in the same expiration series) for a combined net debit, which reduces my total net credit in the campaign.
The reader was asking me how I choose my “take profit” limit order following a defensive adjustment. Here was my answer:
As the bull market in stocks continues, the lifeblood to keep the ball rolling is sector rotation.
We're already seeing some of the big caps that have driven the first leg of this run start exhibiting signs of overexertion (check out $GOOG today).
It makes sense to us that stocks further down the cap scale are going to start asserting themselves and perhaps in some cases play "catch up" to their big brothers.
Today's trade is in a cyclical name in the Logistics space.