At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
We've explained how we continue to see the weight of the evidence shifting in favor of the bulls with each passing week.
We can finally say we're no longer in a split market environment. Instead, we see a market supported by strong internals where the bias is clearly higher for equities and risk-assets alike.
After the prior week's resurgence from the Tech/Growth trade, as well as new highs from many of the major sectors and indexes, this week showed a strong rotation back into cyclical groups.
I know we've discussed the potential for some serious sector rotation before. But we haven't seen such a strong week from economically sensitive groups like this just yet.
At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
Despite being in a split market environment, we've pointed out how the weight of the evidence continues to shift further and further in the direction of the bulls with each passing week.
This past week, we finally saw what appears to be the tipping point as stocks and risk-assets were all up generously. We've been waiting for the market to make up its mind from a risk-appetite perspective, as well as for the stock market to pick a direction after almost three months of sideways action.
Not only was the S&P up over 7% last week, but it's following through with a monster move today. The S&P is up about 3.5% as I write this.
But there's even more good news for investors... it looks as...
Thanks to everyone for participating in this Week's Mystery Chart. Most of you were sellers but the chart was inverted, so you were actually buyers.
We'd be buying this chart too, so let's dive right in and see what it is and why we're all so bullish.
This week's chart was the Invesco Chinese Technology ETF $CQQQ.
In this post, we'll dig into the strongest Chinese technology stocks and outline some trade ideas as a way to express our bullish thesis.
We'll also discuss some intermarket implications of this ETF and its components.
We're going to take a close look at these Chinese tech giants and see if we can glean some insight into the internals of CQQQ in addition to other International Indexes.
First of all, the chart looks a good deal different than it did when we posted the Mystery Chart earlier this week.
This isn't just because it was inverted, but also because...
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @Haumicharts
At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
This week, we saw that trade unwind a bit as most risk-assets were lower on the week. We're going to need to see a lot more data come in to support a sustained rotation into these more cyclical areas as well as reverse some of these long-term relative trends.
So, after a big week of progress, we're right back to an increasingly bifurcated market environment.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @Haumicharts
At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
This week, we finally witnessed a meaningful rotation into reflationary assets as yields rallied to their highest levels since June. We also saw a noticeable strengthening from cyclicals.
We think this kind of rotation is a very healthy development for markets.
When investors bid up more economically sensitive assets it speaks to...
We went "bottom fishing" with this week's selection, posting a mystery chart that featured a potential bottoming pattern complete with a failed breakdown, fast move higher, and a successful retest of support. These are all bullish characteristics that point to a higher likelihood of this being a true trend reversal.
As we noted earlier this week, bottom fishing is a risky game. But, if we play the bottoming process responsibly, the market could offer us some delicious rewards.
In this episode of The Money Game, Phil asks about what's more important to me. Is it collecting material things, or enjoying experiences with family and friends?
For me, it's quite obvious after looking back that I've enjoyed my experiences traveling throughout Asia and Europe with my wife. I remember my Dad let me skip school when I was 11 years old to go to Marlins Opening Day in 1993 (My mom was thrilled about that). I have a nice watch that I never wear. I haven't bought a car since 1997. And I have little interest in wearing that nice watch, or yet alone buying another one. I think cars are cool, but I'm still in no rush to go get one.
Let's go out for sushi. How about a hike? College football game perhaps? Let's throw a charity event and raise a ton of money to help people. Want to come to Edison, NJ for Indian food? Go wine tasting in Sonoma Valley? Hit the beaches in Miami or the Caribbean?
I'd rather do all that stuff than collect more "things". But I hadn't really thought of it that way until I really...
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @Haumicharts
At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
In recent RPP Reports, we discussed how markets had become more of a mixed bag, particularly equities as they try to recover from September's selloff.
We're still waiting for many of the key assets that we mentioned were trading right at or near critical levels in recent weeks to choose a decisive direction.
We have plenty to cover, so let's kick things off with the US Index table.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @Haumicharts
At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
In recent week's RPP Reports, we've discussed how Equity Markets had become more of a mixed bag with many key assets trading right at or near critical levels.
This week, we'll follow up on some of these areas we've been pointing out in recent reports and see how they look now.
The bottom line is that while there have definitely been more bullish than bearish developments since last week, prices continue to flirt with the risk levels we've previously outlined.
We still believe the weight of the evidence is in favor of the bulls, but with so many assets at inflection points, we're paying close attention to every new day's data as it...
Last week’s Mystery Chart featured an ominous rounding top, complete with price violating key lows as it aggressively collapsed.
Today, we’re going to turn that frown upside down. It actually wasn’t a rounding top at all.
We inverted the chart, as we often do, in an effort to make some of you out there aware of any bullish or bearish biases you may have.
In other words, if you were buying this chart (which most of you were NOT), you are really a seller. And if you’re a “seller” who only bought the Mystery Chart because you have a bullish bias, you might now be wondering why you would ever bet against such a nice base.
When we flip this chart around, you can now see we’re looking at a massive base on Japan’s Nikkei 225.
In this post, we’ll check in on the Nikkei and see what market breadth is signaling about the internal strength of the Japanese stock market.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @Haumicharts
At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
Like we discussed last week, Equity Markets are becoming more of a mixed bag. This week, we'll expand on this theme.
Prices continue to flirt with the risk levels we've outlined for various assets in recent weeks. We still believe the weight of the evidence is in favor of the bulls, but with so many assets at inflection points, we're paying close attention to every new day's data as it comes in.
Starting at the US Index table, we can see the Nasdaq 100 $QQQ and Transports $IYT had a quieter week, while laggards such as the SMIDs caught a healthy bid, all up about 4.5%.
In this episode I get to chat with one of my all-time favorite journalists, Frances Horodelski. She was one of the first people to interview me on TV when I was still in my 20s and I don't forget that. She believed in me early on. That's really cool.
We've continued to do interviews together over the years but today I flip the script and ask HER the tough questions. We discuss the role of Technical Analysis in both markets and financial media. As a former Wall Street analyst herself, she brings unique perspective and experience to traditional media. This was really informative and a lot of fun!