On this podcast episode, we're flipping the script a bit. I was invited to come on the DailyFX Podcast hosted by Tyler Yell last week, and I wanted to share that audio with you here today. In this conversation, we discuss the recent Chart Summit in Breckenridge, CO, how and why I started Allstarcharts.com and what trends I'm currently seeing in the market. One thing we also talked about was the benefits of journaling and writing ideas down on paper. I really enjoyed this conversation so thank you Tyler Yell and DailyFX for inviting me on.
Chart Summit was a "Ski during the day and Chart at night" event held on February 22-23, 2019 in Breckenridge, CO. I co-hosted it with Brian Shannon and this is the video of my presentation:
The Top/Down Approach to Financial Markets using Technical Analysis
Chart Summit 2019 is in the books. This is the first time I've ever hosted a live financial conference. The last 2 Chart Summits were 100% virtual. I'm not exactly a "conference thrower" and neither is my co-host Brian Shannon. But somehow everything worked out and we had an incredible few days up in beautiful Breckenridge Colorado!
Brian and I love skiing and analyzing charts. As it turns out, there are a lot of other people like that too! I'd like to thank everyone who attended our event. It would not have been possible without you!
This is week is Chart Summit 2019 in Breckenridge Colorado!
We're skiing during the day and charting at night! We have skiers and snowboarders coming from all over the world to this unique event. We've even organized snow mobile tours for those who choose not to ride with us on the slopes. Everyone is welcome!
The full schedule has been released. Check it out!
The market is a beautiful thing, particularly the analysis of supply and demand behavior. I'm incredibly fortunate to be a practicing Technician for almost a decade and a half and have become good friends with some of the best that ever did it. I will never take that for granted.
Over 90% of the time, sentiment data is completely useless to me. I only care about it when we see it at or near extremes, which is not often. Some people dismiss sentiment data altogether in favor of tools that can be used more frequently. Not me. I'll stay patient all day and just wait for my pitch. The unwinds from extremes in sentiment can be very powerful and last much longer than investors usually expect.
Currently, we're seeing an interesting setup in Silver. Commercial Hedgers, which are traditionally the "Smart Money", have on pretty much their smallest hedges of all-time. In fact, Commercial Hedgers, who are always short Silver Futures, it's just how short, are now almost net long! That never ever happens. So it's got my attention.
Chart Summit 2018 is in the books. What another great day of thought out presentations filled with both educational and timely actionable material. We try to make it a point here not to live life in theory, but in reality. I go to too many conferences where all the discussions are purely academic and theoretical. Listen, I understand that this sort of material is 'evergreen' and can be watched for a long time afterwards. Sure, and I like some of that too, don't get me wrong. But we're here in the market to make money. So we want to see you put your tools to work in the current market environment. What are we buying and what are we selling? Let's make sure to talk about what's most important!
This year I invited a group of presenters that I thought each brought a different perspective on the markets. Last year I tried to do something similar, but the 2018 Chart Summit was unique in many ways. Once again, we were broadcasting live from the internet on a Saturday so our audience was all over the world in the comfort of their own houses, flats and dorm rooms. The diversity of attendees was one for the record books, in terms of age, sex, location and occupation.
This weekend was our second annual Chart Summit. I still can't believe all the amazing feedback that continues to come in after this event. Thank you all from the bottom of my heart, both the presenters and the audience members. I didn't think we could make something even better than the original, but I think based on the responses, we may have actually pulled it off. Wow!
Our video production folks are hard at work putting all the videos together, but I've picked out the ones I did so I can share with all of you as soon as possible. The rest will be out this week.
It's hard to ignore a sector that is breaking out to new highs, especially when it's something that it hasn't done in a long time. Biotechnology has been a laggard for years. If we've wanted to be in healthcare, it certainly has not been in Biotech or Pharma, it's been Medical Equipment stocks. But it's 2018 and times are changing.
Today we're looking at breakouts in both the Equally-weighted Biotechnology Fund $XBI and the Cap-weighted Biotechnology Fund $IBB. Because of the very different composition of the two sector funds, we want to make sure to always watch the behavior of both. The $XBI tells a better story of the sector because it is not dominated by the big names like Amgen or Gilead. But at the same time, we're not going to just throw out the fact that $AMZN is a huge component of the Discretionary space, for example. So I think it's important to always keep an eye on both the cap-weighted and equally-weighted sector indexes.